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Jaime EisnerApr 1, 2026

A seven-round Falcons mock draft projecting Atlanta's five 2026 picks: CB Brandon Cisse at 48, IDL Darrell Jackson Jr. at 79, WR Brenen Thompson at 112, EDGE Mason Reiger at 215 and LB Shad Banks Jr. at 231.

Published in writing · The Draft NetworkRead the original

2 of 6calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 3 misses · all settled
47.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
6 of 6Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Jaime Eisner said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Brandon Cisse's draft stock has cooled a bit in recent weeks, but he still seems like a likely top-50 pick.
Jaime Eisner, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
The Draft Network
The piece
Falcons 7-Round NFL Mock Draft: April Edition
The original
Read the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidApr 1
  2. GradedAug 15
  1. 1Shad Banks to be picked at number 231“Round 7 (No. 231 overall): Shad Banks Jr., LB, UTSA”
  2. 2Mason Reiger to be picked at number 215“Round 6 (No. 215 overall): Mason Reiger, EDGE, Wisconsin”
  3. 3Brenen Thompson to be picked at number 112“Round 4 (No. 112 overall): Brenen Thompson, WR, Mississippi State”
  4. 4Darrell Jackson to be picked at number 79“Round 3 (No. 79 overall): Darrell Jackson Jr., IDL, Florida State”
  5. 5Brandon Cisse to be picked “likely top-50 pick” (picks 1–50)“Brandon Cisse's draft stock has cooled a bit in recent weeks, but he still seems like a likely top-50 pick.”
  6. 6Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 48“Round 2 (No. 48 overall): Brandon Cisse, CB, South Carolina”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Shad Banks to be picked at number 2311Mock Draft PicksWent undrafted050+50
Mason Reiger to be picked at number 2152Mock Draft PicksWent undrafted050+50
Brenen Thompson to be picked at number 1123Mock Draft PicksWent 10573.8450+50
Darrell Jackson to be picked at number 794Mock Draft PicksWent 10335.3650+50
Brandon Cisse to be picked “likely top-50 pick” (picks 1–50)5Mock Draft PicksWent 5291.750+50
Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 486Mock Draft PicksWent 5284.0950+50
6 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 3 misses · all settled47.550

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

6 checkable claims — 6 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 47.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
231They said
undraftedWhat happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksShad BanksAtlanta Falcons

    Shad Banks to be picked at number 231

    What happenedWent undraftedmocked at 231
    0Miss · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Shad Banks
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with TEN
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    231
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksMason ReigerAtlanta Falcons

    Mason Reiger to be picked at number 215

    What happenedWent undraftedmocked at 215
    0Miss · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Mason Reiger
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with MIA
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    215
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksBrenen ThompsonAtlanta Falcons

    Brenen Thompson to be picked at number 112

    What happenedWent 105mocked at 112
    73.84Close · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Brenen Thompson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    105
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    112
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Mock Draft PicksDarrell JacksonAtlanta Falcons

    Darrell Jackson to be picked at number 79

    What happenedWent 103mocked at 79
    35.36Miss · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Darrell Jackson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    35.36
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    103
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    35.36
    predicted pick:
    79
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Mock Draft PicksBrandon Cisse

    Brandon Cisse to be picked “likely top-50 pick” (picks 1–50)

    What happenedWent 52
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Brandon Cisse
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    52
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    likely top-50 pick (picks 1–50)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  6. 6Mock Draft PicksBrandon CisseAtlanta Falcons

    Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 48

    What happenedWent 52mocked at 48
    84.09Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Brandon Cisse
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    52
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    48
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once

    47.5naive 50

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