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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 10, 2025

Rich Eisen gave their Week 15 top-10 power rankings, installing the Rams at No. 1 as the best team in football, adding the Jaguars and keeping the Bears despite their loss, while dropping the Cowboys and Eagles off the list. They also projected 10-win seasons for both Chicago and Jacksonville and said the Jaguars would handle the Jets at home.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 4calls landed2 hits · 2 close calls · all settled
74.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
39.1A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'm putting the Rams as the best team in football because I think they would pretty much beat everybody else from here on out.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 3: NFL Power Rankings for Week 15, plus ‘Anaconda’ Star Paul Rudd In-Studio
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidDec 10, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026
  1. 1Chicago Bears to finish with 10 wins“they do have the Cleveland Browns at home next. I think they're gonna be a 10 win team welcoming the Packers into their house”
  2. 2Power Rankings“These are my week 15 power rankings presented by Sonos... Number 10 on the list... I still don't put the Chicago Bears at ten... I'm putting the Jacksonville Jaguars on this list at nine... So they're eighth on this list [Texans]... I'm popping the Niners up two spots to seven... I'm putting the Bills right here [six]... I have the Packers at five... the Seattle Seahawks are there at four... I'm putting the Denver Broncos at three... The Patriots are two... I'm putting the Rams as the best team in football”
  3. 3Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10 wins“they're gonna be a 10 win team, the Jacksonville Jaguars, after they take care of the jets at home... this could be an 11 win team easily, and maybe a 12 win team”
  4. 4Jacksonville Jaguars to beat jets“after they take care of the jets at home before they go to Denver”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Chicago Bears to finish with 10 wins1Season Win Totals118015+79.3
“These are my week 15 power rankings presented by Sonos...…”2Power Rankings—76.3641.21+42.88
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10 wins3Season Win Totals13400+48.8
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat jets4Game Outcome Picks—1001000
4 calls · 2 hits · 2 close calls · all settled74.139.1

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 season win totals, 1 game outcome pick and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 74.1 out of 100, against 39.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

wins
10They said
11What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Season Win TotalsChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to finish with 10 wins

    What happened11called 10
    80Hit · naive 15
    80this call15a naive guess65better than naive1.22difficulty+79.3skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    CHI
    naive:
    6.75
    skill:
    79.3
    what happened:
    11
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    80
    baseline:
    15
    they said:
    10
    difficulty:
    1.22
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    4
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Power Rankings

    “These are my week 15 power rankings presented by Sonos... Number 10 on the list... I still don't put the Chicago Bears at ten... I'm putting the Jacksonville Jaguars on this list at nine... So they're eighth on this list [Texans]... I'm popping the Niners up two spots to seven... I'm putting the Bills right here [six]... I have the Packers at five... the Seattle Seahawks are there at four... I'm putting the Denver Broncos at three... The Patriots are two... I'm putting the Rams as the best team in football”

    VerdictClose
    76.36Close · naive 41.21
    76.36this call41.21a naive guess35.15better than naive1.22difficulty+42.88skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    42.88
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    76.36
    baseline:
    41.21
    difficulty:
    1.22
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    4
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Season Win TotalsJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10 wins

    What happened13called 10
    40Close · naive 0
    40this call0a naive guess40better than naive1.22difficulty+48.8skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    JAX
    naive:
    6.25
    skill:
    48.8
    what happened:
    13
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    40
    baseline:
    0
    they said:
    10
    difficulty:
    1.22
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    4
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Game Outcome PicksJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat jets

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.22difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Dec 14): Jaguars by 13.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 7 in 8 (88%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    20-48
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.22
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    4
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    74.1naive 39.1

Others on the same people

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.