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Eric CrockerMar 3, 2026

Crocker says Thieneman's testing may have pushed them into the first round and possibly the top 20, and pegs Emmanuel McNeil Warren as a second-round/high second-round pick.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On 49ers (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
90.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Eric Crocker said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
those are things that I feel like he may have ran him, not only into the first round, but maybe into the top 20.
Eric Crocker, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Locked On 49ers (podcast)
The episode
Combine Performances for 49ers Draft Targets at Linebacker and Defensive Back
The original
Hear the original
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  1. SaidMar 3
  2. GradedAug 14
  1. 1Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked “high second round pick” (picks 33–64)“Well, I I mocked him in the second round of of our draft... he's definitely someone I feel, like, has the ability to be a a a definitely a high second round pick.”
  2. 2Dillon Thieneman to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)“those are things that I feel like he may have ran him, not only into the first round, but maybe into the top 20.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked “high second round pick” (picks 33–64)1Mock Draft PicksWent 5810050—
Dillon Thieneman to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)2Mock Draft PicksWent 2580.5250—
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled90.350

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 90.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
high second round pick (picks 33–64)They said
58What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksEmmanuel McNeil-Warren

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked “high second round pick” (picks 33–64)

    What happenedWent 58
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    58
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    high second round pick (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksDillon Thieneman

    Dillon Thieneman to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)

    What happenedWent 25
    80.52Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Dillon Thieneman
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    25
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    top 20 (picks 1–20)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    90.3naive 50

Who this take is about

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