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Eric Mangini#86 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 6, 2026

Mangini predicted Ty Simpson has a strong chance of going in the first round despite not deserving it, said Fernando Mendoza will be franchise-changing though with a limited ceiling, and doubted a Jets quarterback pick would work out.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Went 13What happenedsettled
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#86Eric Mangini’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Eric Mangini said

I I wouldn't, but I I do think that he has a great chance of going in the first round.
Our reading: Ty Simpson to be picked “in the first round” (picks 1–32)
The episode
Lakers without Luka & Reaves, Jokic vs. Wembanyama, Nick’s Mock Draft 1.0, UConn vs. Michigan
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 6
  2. GradedAug 13

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
in the first round (picks 1–32)They said
13What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksTy Simpson

    Ty Simpson to be picked “in the first round” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent 13
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    in the first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

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