Jason McIntyre#46 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 9, 2026
McIntyre predicts a Jaguars blowout of the Bills (31-10) and floats Sean McDermott being fired; their mock draft has Mendoza first, Dante Moore to the Jets, Caleb Downs 10th to the Bengals and Jeremiah Love to Baltimore.
Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original
What Jason McIntyre said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromJaguars thirty one to ten, Bills fire their coach
- Where it was said
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
- The episode
- THE HERD - Hour 2 - New Blazing 5 picks, Urban Meyer joins The Herd
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJan 9
- GradedAug 7
- 1Jacksonville Jaguars 31 — Bills 10“Jaguars thirty one to ten, Bills fire their coach”
- 2Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“drop mock draft one point, Oh, yesterday got my guy Mendoza up top.”
- 3Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10“What do you think about Caleb Downs? The Ohio State stud have him ten to the Bengals.”
- 4Matt Moore to be picked “to my Jets”“Obviously Dante Moore to my Jets”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars 31 — Bills 101 | Score Predictions | — | 7.14 | 47.69 | −40.54 | |
| Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 12 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 1 | 100 | 50 | +50 | |
| Caleb Downs to be picked at number 103 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 11 | 95.76 | 50 | +50 | |
| Matt Moore to be picked “to my Jets”4 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · 1 waiting | 67.6 | 49.2 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 67.6 out of 100, against 49.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Score PredictionsJacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars 31 — Bills 10
VerdictMiss7.14Miss · naive 47.697.14this call−47.69a naive guess=−40.55worse than naive×1difficulty=−40.54skillClosing line (Jan 11): Jaguars by 1.5, total 51.5 · this 31–10 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 21) and fewer points (41).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 27-24
- skill:
- −40.54
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 7.14
- baseline:
- 47.69
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 21
2Mock Draft PicksFernando Mendoza
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 1mocked at 1100Hit · naive 50100this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=50better than naive×1difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10
What happenedWent 11mocked at 1095.76Hit · naive 50100this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=50better than naive×1difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
4Mock Draft PicksMatt MooreNew York Jets
Matt Moore to be picked “to my Jets”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
67.6naive 49.2
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
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More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.