Carter Bahns#18 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 8, 2026
A CBS Sports piece names the Dolphins, Cardinals, Jets, Browns and Titans as the five teams most likely to compete for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2027 NFL Draft, and predicts Miami will lose four games to the Bills and Patriots.
Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original
What Carter Bahns said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromHere are the five teams that figure to compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick in the 2027 NFL Draft.
- Where it was published
- CBS Sports
- The piece
- Predicting the race for the No. 1 pick in the 2027 NFL Draft: Dolphins, Jets among five contenders
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 8
- PlayedNov 1
- GradedNov 2
- 1New England Patriots to beat Miami Dolphins“battling a pair of Super Bowl contenders in the Bills and Patriots should account for four losses”
- 2Buffalo Bills to beat Miami Dolphins“battling a pair of Super Bowl contenders in the Bills and Patriots should account for four losses”
- 3Arizona Cardinals to pick “compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick”“even a win or two in that stretch might not be enough to keep the Cardinals from the bottom of the league standings”
- 4New York Jets to pick “compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick”“New York Jets ... even if Glenn holds onto his job, there is no reason to believe the Jets will flourish.”
- 5Miami Dolphins to pick “compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick”“Here are the five teams that figure to compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick in the 2027 NFL Draft. Miami Dolphins ... it would require a masterclass in coaching to even pull the Dolphins out of the AFC East's basement.”
- 6Cleveland Browns to pick “compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick”“Cleveland Browns ... The Browns could have their pick of signal-callers in the next draft, and they had better not mess it up again.”
- 7Tennessee Titans to pick “compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick”“If the preseason was any indication of what is to come, the Titans will find themselves adding even more early-first-round assets to their young core.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots to beat Miami Dolphins1 | Game Outcome Picks | Patriots 24–19 | 100 | 0 | +200 | |
| Buffalo Bills to beat Miami Dolphins2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Arizona Cardinals to pick “compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick”3 | Team Draft Slot Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| New York Jets to pick “compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick”4 | Team Draft Slot Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Miami Dolphins to pick “compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick”5 | Team Draft Slot Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Cleveland Browns to pick “compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick”6 | Team Draft Slot Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Tennessee Titans to pick “compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick”7 | Team Draft Slot Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 7 calls · 1 hit · 6 waiting | 100 | 0 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive7 checkable claims — 5 team draft slot calls and 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksNew England Patriots
New England Patriots to beat Miami Dolphins
What happenedPatriots 24–19Patriots at Dolphins100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×2difficulty=+200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 24-19
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- MIA
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to beat Miami Dolphins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Team Draft Slot CallsArizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals to pick “compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Team Draft Slot CallsNew York Jets
New York Jets to pick “compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Team Draft Slot CallsMiami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins to pick “compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Team Draft Slot CallsCleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns to pick “compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
7Team Draft Slot CallsTennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans to pick “compete the toughest for the No. 1 pick”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
The games in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.John Breech · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 62
Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 74
Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17.
More team draft slot calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Jake Riepma · Team Draft Slot Calls · Detroit Lions · Hit 100
Filling in on Locked On Lions, Jake Reitma dismisses ESPN's suggestion that Sam LaPorta could be traded, saying LaPorta stays in Detroit as part of the core four. They also break down the edge class ahead of the Lions' pick at No. 17, calling David Bailey the class's top edge prospect with Reuben Bain Jr. next, and picks the Pistons as the NBA's best team.Kent Swanson · Team Draft Slot Calls · Cincinnati Bengals · Miss 26
After the Chiefs' 14-12 loss to the Raiders, Kent laid out the resulting draft order: Kansas City picking ninth overall (and 40th in round two) in the 2026 draft, with New Orleans eighth, Cincinnati tenth, and the Raiders holding the No. 1 pick.Chris Brockman · Team Draft Slot Calls · Cincinnati Bengals · Miss 26
Brockman argued only about five teams can realistically win the Super Bowl, naming the Bills, Eagles, Ravens and Chargers among them; they also picked Justin Herbert as MVP through three weeks, called the Colts a top-five team with Daniel Jones as an MVP finalist, said the Bears will finish top two in the NFC North, said the Bengals' season is cooked and they'll pick in the top 10, said the Rams are the only NFC threat to the Eagles, and said the Bucs have a team-of-destiny feel.Rich Eisen · Team Draft Slot Calls · Green Bay Packers · Close 42
Eisen predicts the Cowboys will be picking around No. 32 in next year's draft, i.e. Green Bay's first-rounder will be near the end of the round.Chris Brockman · Team Draft Slot Calls · Dallas Cowboys · Close 77
Brockman opened the season-preview show with a slate of bold calls: the Cowboys collapse into a top-five draft pick after the Micah Parsons trade, the Giants are this year's out-of-nowhere team, the 49ers reach championship weekend with Brock Purdy as an MVP finalist, and the Patriots make the playoffs as part of four 2024-class quarterbacks reaching the postseason.