Kyle Brandt#56 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 6, 2026

Kyle picked the Patriots to win the Super Bowl 20-17 on a walk-off field goal.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed1 close call · 1 miss · all settled

34.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

8.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 2Settlednone still waiting

#56Kyle Brandt’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Kyle Brandt said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I think the Patriots have a walk off field goal win again, and they are going to Seattle twenty to seventeen

Kyle Brandt, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode: GMFB Friday Hour 2: Patriots Win Super Bowl IF.....Ross Tucker, Game Picks!
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidFeb 6
GradedAug 5

1New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl“there's something in my gut that tells me Mike Rabel is going to find a way. Rabel, it is a seventeen.”
2New England Patriots 20 — Seahawks 17“I think the Patriots have a walk off field goal win again, and they are going to Seattle twenty to seventeen”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl¹	Super Bowl Picks	SEA won it	50	0	+50
New England Patriots 20 — Seahawks 17²	Score Predictions	—	19.05	16.73	+2.31
2 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled			34.5	8.4

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 34.5 out of 100, against 8.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Super Bowl Picks New England Patriots
New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl
What happenedSEA won itpicked NE
50Close · naive 0
50this call0a naive guess50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
How this was scored
skill:
50
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
2Score Predictions New England Patriots
New England Patriots 20 — Seahawks 17
VerdictMiss
19.05Miss · naive 16.73
19.05this call16.73a naive guess2.32better than naive1difficulty+2.31skill
Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 20–17 calls a Patriots win (by 3; the line gave the Patriots about 1 in 3 (32%)) and fewer points (37).
How this was scored
score:
29-13
skill:
2.31
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
19.05
baseline:
16.73
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
16
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
34.5naive 8.4