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Isaiah StanbackApr 12, 2025

In the mock draft they sent Shedeur Sanders to Cleveland at No. 2, Mason Graham to the Jets at No. 7, Armand Membou to the Bears at No. 10 and Mykel Williams to Atlanta at No. 15.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 4calls landed3 hits · 1 miss · all settled
66Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Isaiah Stanback said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
You got to go with Shandur Sanders.
Isaiah Stanback, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Saturday Special: Justin Reid, GMFB Mock Draft, Bears Outlook, and Rap Draft!
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidApr 12, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Mykel Williams to be picked at number 15“you're on the clock with the Atlanta Falcons... So I'm gonna go with Mikhil Williams”
  2. 2Mason Graham to be picked at number 7“So I'm going to go with the Michigan Man defense alignment on the interior. Mister Mason Graham”
  3. 3Armand Membou to be picked at number 10“I am gonna go with armand Mimble. We just talked offensive tackle kind of there out of Missouri.”
  4. 4Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 2“that is the quarterback quarterback. Worre's the Chador Sanderow to the Browns.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Mykel Williams to be picked at number 151Mock Draft PicksWent 1184.0950−10
Mason Graham to be picked at number 72Mock Draft PicksWent 591.750−10
Armand Membou to be picked at number 103Mock Draft PicksWent 787.8150−10
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 24Mock Draft PicksWent 1440.2150−10
4 calls · 3 hits · 1 miss · all settled6650

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 66 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
15They said
11What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksMykel WilliamsAtlanta Falcons

    Mykel Williams to be picked at number 15

    What happenedWent 11mocked at 15
    84.09Hit · naive 50
    40this mock’s order50a shuffled mock−10worse than naive1difficulty−10skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    −10
    player:
    Mykel Williams
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    40
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksMason GrahamNew York Jets

    Mason Graham to be picked at number 7

    What happenedWent 5mocked at 7
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    40this mock’s order50a shuffled mock−10worse than naive1difficulty−10skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    −10
    player:
    Mason Graham
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    40
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksArmand MembouChicago Bears

    Armand Membou to be picked at number 10

    What happenedWent 7mocked at 10
    87.81Hit · naive 50
    40this mock’s order50a shuffled mock−10worse than naive1difficulty−10skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    −10
    player:
    Armand Membou
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    40
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Mock Draft PicksShedeur SandersCleveland Browns

    Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 2

    What happenedWent 144mocked at 2
    0.21Miss · naive 50
    40this mock’s order50a shuffled mock−10worse than naive1difficulty−10skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    −10
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    0.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    144
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0.21
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    40
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    66naive 50

Who this take is about

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