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Justin MeloOct 12, 2026

Grading and ranking all 32 rookie classes after Week 5, Melo pointed to a few forward-looking individual outcomes: Washington's Sonny Styles and the Giants' Arvell Reese as Defensive Rookie of the Year candidates, and Baltimore's Vega Ioane as a future All-Pro offensive lineman.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

Waiting3 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 3Settled3 still waiting
3Waitingnot graded yet

What Justin Melo said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Whether he's playing guard or center, Vega Ioane looks like a future All-Pro offensive lineman.
Justin Melo, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Ranking All 32 2026 NFL Draft Classes: Biggest Winners and Disappointments After Week 5
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Olaivavega Ioane to make All-Pro“Whether he's playing guard or center, Vega Ioane looks like a future All-Pro offensive lineman.”
  2. 2Sonny Styles to win Defensive Rookie of the Year“Sonny Styles has been outstanding at linebacker, looking like a Defensive Rookie of the Year frontrunner.”
  3. 3Arvell Reese to win Defensive Rookie of the Year“Linebacker Arvell Reese looks like a potential Defensive Rookie of the Year winner.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Olaivavega Ioane to make All-Pro1Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls————
Sonny Styles to win Defensive Rookie of the Year2Award Picks————
Arvell Reese to win Defensive Rookie of the Year3Award Picks————
3 calls · 3 waiting——

How each call scored

3 checkable claims — 2 award picks and 1 pro bowl and all-pro call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Award PicksSonny StylesWashington Commanders

    Sonny Styles to win Defensive Rookie of the Year

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Award PicksArvell ReeseNew York Giants

    Arvell Reese to win Defensive Rookie of the Year

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.