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Jamie Erdahl#31 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 6, 2026

The host picked the Patriots to win a high-scoring Super Bowl, 35-29.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed1 close call · 1 miss · all settled
38.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
8.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#31Jamie Erdahl’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jamie Erdahl said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'm going thirty five... twenty nine
Jamie Erdahl, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Friday Hour 2: Patriots Win Super Bowl IF.....Ross Tucker, Game Picks!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 6
  2. GradedAug 5
  1. 1New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl“I gotta go with the Ohio State head... hot time, England Patriots.”
  2. 2New England Patriots 35 — Seahawks 29“hot time, England Patriots... I'm going thirty five. Oh yeah, well I'll touchdown twenty awkward, twenty nine”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl1Super Bowl PicksSEA won it500+50
New England Patriots 35 — Seahawks 292Score Predictions—26.1916.73+9.46
2 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled38.18.4

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 38.1 out of 100, against 8.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Super Bowl PicksNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked NE
    50Close · naive 0
    50this call0a naive guess50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    50
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Score PredictionsNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots 35 — Seahawks 29

    VerdictMiss
    26.19Miss · naive 16.73
    26.19this call16.73a naive guess9.46better than naive1difficulty+9.46skill

    Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 35–29 calls a Patriots win (by 6; the line gave the Patriots about 1 in 3 (32%)) and more points (64).

    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    9.46
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    26.19
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    6
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    38.1naive 8.4

Others on the same people

More score predictions

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