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Trevor SikkemaMar 3, 2026

PFF's lead draft analyst said he doesn't view Caleb Downs as a dynamic difference maker and therefore doesn't see him as a top-10 pick.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Went 11What happenedsettled
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
—Skillafter difficulty

What Trevor Sikkema said

So I don't see him as a top 10 pick.
Our reading: Caleb Downs to be picked “not a top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)
The episode
Hour 2: Top 5 Maxx Crosby Trade Destinations, plus 2-Time Super Bowl Champion Von Miller
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMar 3
  2. GradedAug 13

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
not a top 10 pick (NOT picks 1–10)They said
11What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksCaleb Downs

    Caleb Downs to be picked “not a top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)

    What happenedWent 11
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    not a top 10 pick (NOT picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.