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97.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Move the Sticks (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 3 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 6 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 78.5 accuracy (3 settled)
201–225 of 1,106
880 / 1,106
graded
226 still pending
Outside the room in 3 of 7 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 59.5 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 3 articles (1 higher, 2 lower) · when its writers strayed: 72.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 91.8 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 59.5 accuracy (2 settled)
Monroe Freeling to be picked “a top ten pick in this draft” (picks 1–10)
if you told me that Monroe Freeling was a top ten pick in this draft... I wouldn't be surprised
Monroe Freeling to be 1st offensive lineman off the board
if you told me that Monroe Freeling was a top ten pick in this draft as the number and somebody made him the first offensive lineman in the draft, I wouldn't be surprised... It wouldn't shock me if he was the first one to go.
J.J. McCarthy to be 2nd on the depth chart
I think the most likely outcome is he's on their roster and he's not the starter.
Daniel Jones to move to Indianapolis Colts
Daniel Jones is going to stay with the Colts
Travis Kelce to move to Kansas City Chiefs
Travis Kelcey does look like he's going to come back to the Chiefs
Tyler Higbee to move
I think he'll have a place some some Sean McVay. Tree is gonna sign Tyler Higbee to be there tight end too
Jadarian Price to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
His teammate Jadarian Price. I really really like him. I think he's a second round guy... I think that he still goes in the second round somewhere
Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart
I do think Cleveland's gonna roll with with Watson and see what they have with him this year
Sonny Styles to be picked “top ten” (picks 1–10)
I think it's a loaded group that obviously styles is going to go all the way up there in the top ten.
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
So there's Sadik, who's kind of an interesting guy because he a little bit undersized but super dynamic. He'll go in the first round
Ty Simpson to be picked “second round pick” (picks 33–64)
He's my fortieth player. You know, maybe he'll probably move up a couple spots, but he's not going to be inside my top thirty two guys for this draft. I think he's the second round pick.
Mike Washington to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)
I think we have a couple guys go in the third round. So that's like Mike Washington junior from Arkansas
Ty Simpson to be picked “bottom of the second round, bottom of the first round” (picks 1–64)
I'm talking about the bottom of the second round, bottom of the first round... I would be okay at the bottom of the first, but hearing what I'm hearing about him and people talking about top six, I was like, no, I can't.
Germie Bernard to be picked “middle of the second round” (picks 33–64)
I had given him a day two grade, and I think he just kind of slidifies himself as the middle of the second round type of prospect.
Spencer Fano to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
Fano, who you know has his shorter arms but literally worked out at center, can play any of the five spots, is a really good player. He's going to go in the first round.
Monroe Freeling to be picked “first half of the first round” (picks 1–32)
He's going He's probably gonna go. In the first half of the first round
Ty Simpson to be picked “second round pick” (picks 33–64)
he's not going to get inside my top thirty two players. I view him as a second round pick. That's what I think he is.
Keylan Rutledge to be picked “Day two”
Rutlets from Georgia Tech's going to go on Day two.
he's my second player. There's only one more spot for him to go... I probably just stick with the quarterback at this point in time with Mendoza... I had him as my fortieth player come out of the combine.
Jadarian Price to be picked “day two”
I thought Jadari and Price had a really good workout... those are the four guys... I think the other three all go on stay two.
Gennings Dunker to be picked “day two”
Dunker from Iowa is going to go on day two
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “round one”
those are the four guys... one for sure in round one. I think the other three all go on stay two.
Mike Washington to be picked “day two”
The you know Washington junior from Arkansas. He's you know, either the third or the fourth guy... I think the other three all go on stay two.
Germie Bernard to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
Jeremy Bernard is going to be a really really good player... I think he's got a really good shot of going in the second round
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top five pick” (picks 1–5)
To me, Man, we're talking about a top five pick... you could talk yourself in and take him and within one the first four five picks.