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37 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →94.72% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 4 of 8 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 37 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
226–250 of 1,269
670 / 1,269
graded
599 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 3 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 73.8 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 19 articles (1 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 40.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 24 articles (1 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 63.3 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 22 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 70.6 accuracy (2 settled)
Bo Nix to outplay his draft cost (one of the last quarterbacks to go)
Bo Nix, to me, is the best value... So great value on Bo Nix this year.
David Montgomery to record 10 rushing tds
if he's healthy this full year, I mean, the way their defense gets turnovers, Montgomery being fed in the red zone, minimum 10 touchdowns, honestly.
Emmett Johnson to be 2nd on the depth chart
there's this kid, Johnson, who's their number two running back... He's the number two running back. Guaranteed.
Jalen Hurts to outplay his draft cost (a seventh, eighth-round pick)
Gian Hurts right now, Chad, is like a seventh, eighth-round pick... He's another guy that's a good value.
DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (the fourth, fifth round)
All in on DJ Moore... Now he's kind of moved up, Chad, to the fourth, fifth round.
Makai Lemon to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)
People have been drafting the Eagles receiver Lemon in this round, Chad... So I am out on lemon. I'd much rather have Wicks at cost.
Michael Pittman to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)
for me, I'm passing on Pittman. He's the second receiver now in the Pittsburgh.
Michael Pittman to be 2nd on the depth chart
He's the second receiver now in the Pittsburgh.
Dallas Goedert to outplay his draft cost (round 10)
people are sleeping on Dallas Goddard... it's just where I think the value is in this draft is Kincaid and then Goddard the round after.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (third round)
fade rice. I'm locked up with Derek here.
George Pickens to fall short of his draft cost (the second round)
Guy I'm avoiding, I can't take pickings in the second round... Pickens ain't returning a second round value to you.
A.J. Brown to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points
if he stays healthy, if that knee holds up, I just can't see a world where AJ doesn't finish top five, top six and wide receiver fantasy points.
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (the fourth, fifth round)
A guy I'm down on, it's got to be Skadabo... But taking him to the fourth, fifth round, that feels a little too rich for Skadaboo.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to outplay his draft cost (the first round)
I am all in on JSN. I just think it's a safe pick
D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (the fourth round)
He's, he's finally moved up to the fourth round... I think he has top, top three round value Swift on the bears.
Luther Burden III to outplay his draft cost (rounds four and five)
Give me my guy, Luther Burden. This is exactly where you want to take him. You're not paying a premium anymore because of the injury.
Josh Jacobs to fall short of his draft cost (the 10th round)
It's just Jacobs for me. He's undraftable. It doesn't even matter if it's the 10th round in my opinion.
Baker Mayfield to win MVP
Baker, 40-1 MVP. Mad Baker Mayfield. No way I'm not taking a taste of that.
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 11–12 wins
Yeah. I think that's an 11 or 12 win team. I'm I'm with you.
Houston Texans to win the Super Bowl
You guys know, I got the Texans in the Super Bowl... So I like the Texans. I think they're Super Bowl worthy this year.
And, you know, the Niners might win eight or nine.
Chicago Bears to beat Panthers
So under three, I'm going to go with the Bears here reluctantly... I'll go Bears favored by two and a half.
Tennessee Titans to beat Jets
Sala gets revenge and Titans beat my Jets... I'll take the Titans.
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Falcons
falcon steelers i went chalky here i went pittsburgh favor by three... I'll take the Steelers and Aaron Rodgers.
Houston Texans to beat Bills
Then the real good game, Bill's Texans... I've got the Texans winning this game.