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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.37% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 69 articles (3 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
3351–3375 of 3,618
1,941 / 3,618
graded
1,677 still pending
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 11 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 14 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 47.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)
So give me Ashton Genty and his three hundred and fifty touches.
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (the start of round three, end of round two)
to get that guy in the start of round three, end of round two, I want him all day, every day
Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (one twenty)
I'd rather just take Jordan Mason at one to twenty because... I just like the value more with Jordan Mason
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty)
there's too many red flags with Tyrek to take him ECR thirty for me
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (round four)
There's just like so many ways the right doesn't work out versus the cost you have to pay for him... So yeah, I agree kind of being lower on Rashie Rice.
T.J. Hockenson to fall short of his draft cost (a sixth rounder in ECR)
I just cannot get on board with a sixth round ECR for him.
Drake London to outplay his draft cost (ECR nineteen)
I think London is absolutely worthy of being drafted close to the turn... I'm higher on him than ECR
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)
It's more of a gentle fade for me... I'm probably not going to have a lot of DJ Moore in twenty twenty five.
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)
I don't need to wait until the back end of the first round of Draft ash and jenty just because he hasn't compiled any sort of NFL resume yet.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (an ECR of forty three)
with Rashie Rice at an ECR of forty three and Xavier Worthy at fifty four, at least one of those guys has to be a colossal disappointment at their current cost
Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)
I'm ahead of ECR on him for sure, And like I might even be able to move Garrett Wilson a little higher
Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (ECR fifteen)
And I do think brock Bauer should go at the turn in twelve team drafts.
Chuba Hubbard to outplay his draft cost (more towards the late fourth)
because I would be perfectly comfortable taking him early in the fourth and he's going more towards the late fourth
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (ECR sixteen, a second round pick)
McCaffrey is not a risk worth taking because when your shark, your emphasis in the first two rounds should be on avoiding the bear traps
Chuba Hubbard to be 1st on the depth chart
So I'm not worried about Dowell supplanting Chuba Hubbard. I'm not too worried about fourth round draft pick Trevor Etn... supplanting Cuba.
I have him at seven overall Welsh... twelfth overall [Bowers]... I think I've got him fifteenth overall [London]... Fits you've got him at twenty six [Evans]... I've got him at thirty thirty four [Wilson]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... you've got him at fifty [Aaron Jones]... Worthy I have at fifty five... I've gone him at fifty eight overall [Rice]
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 11 wins
She's still win ten to eleven, maybe twelve
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs
Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
I think the Bears eke into the playoffs.
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
in the AFC West, I feel the same way... I think the Chargers... my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs