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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.37% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 69 articles (3 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
3326–3350 of 3,618
1,941 / 3,618
graded
1,677 still pending
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 11 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 14 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 47.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Kaleb Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart
going back to Caleb Johnson, he shouldn't be in this tier. He is the clear guy
Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (RB ninety one)
I think Rishard Smith is gonna make noise in this backfield as the new Jerrick McKinnon... He should be inside the top fifty like he is in my ranks
MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)
the guy that he's not inside the top fifty, the Green Bay Packers didn't do anything to add to their backfield. Marshaun Lloyd
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)
if he looks like the guy from weeks one through eight, Yeah, this is this year's JK. Dobbins... I just bumped him up to RB thirty two
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)
I wonder if Javonte Williams is a screaming value at RB thirty seven, even if it feels gross to draft him... I will be ranking him ahead of RB thirty seven. I guarantee it
Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (outside the top forty running backs)
I like Jordan Mason a lot. If he's going out to the top forty running backs
Justice Hill to outplay his draft cost (RB sixty six)
Justin Hill is going he is going to outperform MARB sixty six if he's healthy. I guarantee you
Bijan Robinson to outplay his draft cost (third or fourth pick)
I think Bjeon is going to win leagues this year, especially if you're getting him like third or fourth pick in your drafts
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)
I don't think he's going to be a bust by any means, but maybe underwhelm a little bit versus his ECR
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (a mid third round price)
I just I want no part of thirty one year old Tyreek Hill coming off a bad year... I don't really want to pay a mid third round price to find out
Aaron Jones to outplay his draft cost (his end of the fifth round ECR)
maybe people are a little bored with him, so I think he's going to be a value in drafts
Brock Bowers to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
So yes, I do think Bowers is a clear tier above anyone else at tight end.
We have got your top seventy five overall ranks. We're gonna be going through it via the Fantasy pros ECR Expert Consensus Ranks... Jamar Chase is your leader at the tippy top... George Picken.
Saquon Barkley to fall short of his draft cost (ECR number two, the number one running back)
I don't think that he should be the number one running back Ranke... So I'm just going with the process play... I'm just gonna face Saquon
Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)
So I think he's too low because I think I love the talent
Tyreek Hill to move — “not on the Dolphins in Week 1 of 2025”
is Tyrek Hill on the team in League eight team in twenty twenty five? ... So I'm going to say, I'm going to say no.
Ashton Jeanty to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points
False because he finishes a top three running back.
Garrett Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
It's gonna be the Garrett Wilson show... I think Wilson's going to see flirt with a potential thirty percent target share
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (ECR six)
So yeah, I like Ceedee Lamb a lot. I think that he's he's coming at a discount.
Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (the second round)
I love taking him in the second round... and I love getting the discount. Round two
Drake London to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points
I think Drake London could be a top three, if not the number one overall receiver
I have him five... I have him ranked at ten [Barkley]... I have Drake London my eleventh ranked overall player... I have him at sixteen [Bowers]... So I have him at number twenty three [Chase Brown]... I have Garrett Wilson at number twenty five overall... You've got him at forty one [Worthy]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... so I have him at fifty one [Hubbard]... I have him right at ECR at sixty overall [Aaron Jones]
Drake London to record 15 receiving tds
I think that he could score fifteen touchdowns attached to Michael Pennock.
Mike Evans to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty two)
I do still think Evans is a pretty low risk, high yield investment... So I'm going to keep drafting Mike Evans.
Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (ECR fifty four)
So I just think that Worthy's kind of just being undervalued a little bit.