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37 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →94.72% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 4 of 8 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 37 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
551–575 of 1,269
670 / 1,269
graded
599 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 3 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 73.8 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 19 articles (1 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 40.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 24 articles (1 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 63.3 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 22 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 70.6 accuracy (2 settled)
Denver Broncos to finish with 9.5 wins
Denver nine and a half, I'll take the over... I think that Sean Payton is good enough coach that a ten and seventeen with this talent is not at all inconceivable to me.
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart
Tua has gone to Atlanta. He will be the starter.
Buffalo Bills to finish with 10.5 wins
so far we have talked about like in Buffalo over ten and a half
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 8.5 wins
So I'll take the over eight and a half on the Cowboys.
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
Folks, you could go ahead and write this in Penn the Rams are winning the Super Bowl next year... But lock it in right now, Rams super Bowl.
Bradley Chubb to record 9–10 sacks
Bradley Chubb got picked up by the Bills. I thought that was a decent He's gonna get you about nine to ten sacks a year.
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
Even if you asked me to pick the seven playoff teams in the AFC right right now, Broncos, Patriots, Jags, Bill's Chargers.
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
Even if you asked me to pick the seven playoff teams in the AFC right right now, Broncos, Patriots, Jags, Bill's Chargers.
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
Even if you asked me to pick the seven playoff teams in the AFC right right now, Broncos, Patriots, Jags, Bill's Chargers.
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
I don't have the Chiefs in No, definitely, not in that probably Ravens. Probably Ravens.
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
Even if you asked me to pick the seven playoff teams in the AFC right right now, Broncos, Patriots, Jags, Bill's Chargers.
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
Even if you asked me to pick the seven playoff teams in the AFC right right now, Broncos, Patriots, Jags, Bill's Chargers.
Malik Willis to finish top 17 at his position, by passing yards
Twenty two million makes him the seventeenth highest paid quarterback in the NFL. I think it's very realistic that at some point next year you will feel like Malik Willis is at least the seventeenth best quarterback in the NFL.
Tyler Linderbaum to finish top 2 at his position, by an unstated measure
I think Linderbaum is second best center in the sport.
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart
So in this Raiders chief scenario, who are you penciling at quarterback for the Raiders, Cousins or... Mendoza, Mendoza eventually not sure day one, Mendoza eventually
Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins
This this feels like an easy over for me. Josh Allen... I think this is way way over.
Green Bay Packers to win the division
And that division of all the teams are probably the best value right now to win that division.
Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins
I liked there were both lean into the over for them.
Denver Broncos to finish with 10 wins
Denver nine and a half... to me, that is a bad, bad number by the sports books... denver and the over you like that a lot
Green Bay Packers to finish with 11 wins
Green Bay ten and a half one two three over over.
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 11 wins
So this one I lean to the over. I'm not going to force bet here on the Chargers, though.
Green Bay Packers to finish with 11 wins
Green Bay ten and a half one two three over over.
Seattle Seahawks to finish with 11 wins
Seattle, seahawks the world champions ten and a half ... my bet is entirely on the defensive side of the ball
Carolina Panthers to finish with 7 wins
The Carolina panthers over six and a half in THE Nfc South
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins
Stepsisco ten and a half plus one twenty five to the over Simon one two three over under.