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Division Winners

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
1,069
Graded
351

33% settled

Average accuracy
27.4

out of 100

Pundits
138

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
96 scored 80+255 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

351 / 1,069

graded

718 still pending

By season

  • 202016 of 16 graded
  • 20212 of 2 graded
  • 20222 of 2 graded
  • 20238 of 8 graded
  • 202418 of 18 graded
  • 2025305 of 305 graded
  • 20260 of 718 graded

Who is good at division winners

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every division winners take

951–975 of 1,069

  • Miss · 0Danny ParkinsDivision Winners2025 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    No one's caught up to them in this division... the biggest favorite to win a division of any team in the NFL

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffDivision Winners2025 season

    Green Bay Packers to win the division

    I'm gonna pick the Packers to win the division.

    Green Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 27, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffDivision Winners2025 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    And as we're sitting here right now I'm giving it to the Bucks

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 27, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Aaron SchatzDivision Winners2025 season

    Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division

    You have the Jaguars projected to win the division. It's only by you know, half a game in your projections

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jul 25, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Gregg RosenthalDivision Winners2025 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    I think the bucks are kind of clearly on top, and that the Falcons are kind of clearly in the middle of those groups

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 25, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Aaron SchatzDivision Winners2025 season

    San Francisco 49ers to win the division

    Let's say you combine that with the really easy schedule, you have a division champion.

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 25, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Aaron SchatzDivision Winners2025 season

    Washington Commanders to win the division

    a better chance to win the NFC East over Philadelphia

    Washington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jul 25, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0West WilsonDivision Winners2025 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    I would absolutely pick them to win the NFC North. Again this year.

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 21, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Chris BrockmanDivision Winners2025 season

    Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    The Bengals are winning the AFC North. ... I think twelve and five wins the AFC North.

    Cincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 21, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Simon HunterDivision Winners2025 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the division

    You're getting minus one ten of the chiefs in that division running to the window to bet that one.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 18, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Seth RollinsDivision Winners2025 season

    Washington Commanders to win the division

    I think they're the class of the NFC East.

    Washington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Jul 16, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Simon HunterDivision Winners2025 season

    Green Bay Packers to win the division

    because I have green Bay in the winning the division, you know, if I'm betting wise

    Green Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 16, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Simon HunterDivision Winners2025 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    if I'm going to go with a side, I got to go with Houston making of that division

    Houston Texans

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 16, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Brandon AndersonDivision Winners2025 season

    Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division

    I'm not ready to go better enough to win the division. I am going to reluctantly take the Jacksonville Jaguars... Could it be nine and eight or ten and seven? That's probably enough in this division.

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jul 16, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Brandon AndersonDivision Winners2025 season

    Carolina Panthers to win the division

    We all have very different choices for winners of the NFC South. I like Atlanta, Simon likes Tampa Bay, Brandon Lakes Carolina.

    Carolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jul 16, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Chad MillmanDivision Winners2025 season

    Atlanta Falcons to win the division

    We all have very different choices for winners of the NFC South. I like Atlanta

    Atlanta Falcons

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 16, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Chad MillmanDivision Winners2025 season

    Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    I had Cincinnati winning the division. So when I went through this, I had the Ravens as the wildcard team from that division.

    Cincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 16, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Simon HunterDivision Winners2025 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    the loan division gotta go to the South right with the Bucks

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 16, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Jason McIntyreDivision Winners2025 season

    San Francisco 49ers to win the division

    Rock Purdy and the Niners. They will win the division.

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 14, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Jason McIntyreDivision Winners2025 season

    Philadelphia Eagles to win the division

    So I will go with the Philadelphia Eagles to repeat as the division winner.

    Philadelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jul 14, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Matt HasselbeckDivision Winners2025 season

    Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    I think everyone's with you on the Bills and Ravens. That's a no brainer.

    Baltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 14, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Jason McIntyreDivision Winners2025 season

    Minnesota Vikings to win the division

    I like Kevin O'Connell JJ McCarthy to win the a NFC North

    Minnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 14, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Matt HasselbeckDivision Winners2025 season

    Denver Broncos to win the division

    the AFC West is an incredible division, but I think people are sleeping on Sean Payton and bow Nicks and what they could be in that division

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jul 14, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Jason McIntyreDivision Winners2025 season

    Los Angeles Chargers to win the division

    I'm going with Chargers in the AFC West

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 14, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Matt HasselbeckDivision Winners2025 season

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    So I'll take the Seahawks in a tight division there.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Jul 14, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — division winners (366 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.