Loading…
Loading…
Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
3501–3525 of 4,387
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
he's got it Ward Hunter, Carter Campbell, Genti
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
If Ward Hunter and Gente go in the top five tonight... And I think that's gonna happen tonight. I think we're gonna see that tonight.
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
because Cam Ward's going first, Travis Hunter's going second
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3
he's got it Ward Hunter, Carter Campbell, Genti
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 2
So I've got Abdul Carter going number two overall to the Cleveland Browns.
Armand Membou to be picked at number 6
So I've got Armin Membo going number six Oval to help protect Gino Smith
Tyler Warren to be picked at number 7
That's why I've got him taking Penn State's tight end Tyler Warren number seven overall.
Will Campbell to be picked at number 4
At number four... The New England Patriots... one of the best tackles in the draft in Will Campbell... So Will Campbell's the pick here out of LSU at tackle for New England.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
It's the Tennessee Titans taking quarterback cam Ward out of the University of Miami... He goes to the Tennessee Titans to try to turn around that franchise with the first overall pick.
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 3
that's Travis Hunter, the wide receiver quarterback out of the University of Colorado. He goes to the New York Giants.
Mykel Williams to be picked at number 9
Number nine, and this is where the Carolina Panthers now slide back a spot... It's gonna be mckel Williams, the edge defender out of Georgia.
Josh Simmons to be picked at number 10
finally number ten Chicago Bears... But Josh Simmons, the tackle out of Ohio State... my guy, Josh Simmons, That's who I'd go with here.
Jaxson Dart to be picked at number 8
The Saints then select quarterback Jackson Dart out of All miss... here at the number eight spot.
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 5
At number five... take the pressure off Trevor Lawrence's shoulders, and that's Ashton Genty... goes number five overall.
Mike Green to be picked at number 17
17. CINCINNATI BENGALS Selection: EDGE Mike Green, Marshall
Will Johnson to be picked at number 32
32. Philadelphia Eagles Selection: CB Will Johnson, Michigan
Donovan Ezeiruaku to be picked at number 28
28. DETROIT LIONS Selection: Edge Donovan Ezeiruaku, Boston College
Omarion Hampton to be picked at number 29
29. WASHINGTON COMMANDERS Selection: RB Omarion Hampton, North Carolina
Malaki Starks to be picked at number 27
27. BALTIMORE RAVENS Selection: SAF Malaki Starks, Georgia
Tyler Warren to be picked at number 14
14. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS Selection: TE Tyler Warren, Penn State
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
2. CLEVELAND BROWNS Selection: CB/WR Travis Hunter, Colorado
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 21
21. PITTSBURGH STEELERS Selection: QB Shedeur Sanders, Colorado
TreVeyon Henderson to be picked at number 20
20. DENVER BRONCOS Selection: HB TreVeyon Henderson, Ohio State
Mykel Williams to be picked at number 9
9. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS Selection: EDGE Mykel Williams, Georgia
James Pearce Jr. to be picked at number 31
31. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS Selection: EDGE James Pearce Jr., Tennessee
