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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
3476–3500 of 4,387
Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 11
Number eleven nine Ers, I think they get Kelvin Banks left tackle.
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3
I think the New York Giants are gonna go get Abdul Carter.
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
Number two, most talented athlete in the draft... Travis Hunter, goes to Cleveland.
Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 11
What about the Niners in Kelvin Banks... they need everything... I believe that they're gonna just take the best overall player
Omarion Hampton to be picked at number 12
Number twelve Cowboys Omario Hampton.
Mykel Williams to be picked at number 9
And number nine the Saints... I think they go with Mikel Williams from Georgia.
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 5
Genti's going five Jacksonville.
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3
I would be shocked if New York doesn't select him at three.
Jihaad Campbell to be picked at number 15
then number fifteen the Falcons take Jahad Campbell.
Colston Loveland to be picked at number 13
I think number thirteen we have our first trade up. I think the Rams trade up with Miami... and get Colston Lovelin the tight end
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6
Number six the Raiders. I believe they're going to get Ashton Genty.
Armand Membou to be picked at number 10
Mimbo does not get past the Bears. There's no chance Mimbo is going to be a top ten pick... watch out for Mimbo. In the top ten
Jalon Walker to be picked at number 8
Number six the Panthers Jaylon Walker. I mean again, it's another Georgia pass rusher.
Armand Membou to be picked at number 14
number fourteenth pick. The Colts will take, in their eyes, the best player available. Armand Membo from Missouri.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
Number one cam Ward. This is an easy one, good fit with Brian Callahan's offense
Will Johnson to be picked at number 10
Number ten the Bears... I think the Bears are gonna get will Johnson the corner.
Mason Graham to be picked at number 5
Number five, the Jaguars go for one of the cleaner players in the draft Mason Graham.
Will Campbell to be picked at number 4
Patriots go offensive tackle Will Campbell. LSU.
Will Campbell to be picked at number 4
Even if Abdul Carter is there, they're still taking Will Campbell
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
Daniel Jeremiah has got his latest mock draft out, and he's got it Ward Hunter, Carter Campbell, Genti
Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 6
the Raiders at six would would take Kelvin Banks of Texas
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
because Cam Ward's going first, Travis Hunter's going second
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
I think, but don't know, that Travis Hunter is probably the best guest to go there... right now, it's the Browns, and I would say likely, probably Browns.
Will Campbell to be picked at number 4
he's got it Ward Hunter, Carter Campbell, Genti
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 5
he's got it Ward Hunter, Carter Campbell, Genti
