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Dane BruglerJan 16, 2026

Brugler's mock gives the Cowboys Sonny Styles at No. 12 and Clemson cornerback Avion Terrell with their second first-round pick.

Said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
90.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Dane Brugler said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Dane Brugler, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

The episode
Cowboys Mock Draft Roundup: Who Is the Best Pick at No. 12? | DLLS Cowboys Podcast
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJan 16
  2. GradedAug 14–18
  1. 1Avieon Terrell to be picked “the second pick in the first round (Cowboys, No. 20)” (picks 1–64)“With the second pick in the first round, Dane goes with Avion. AJ Terrell. Avion Terrell, cornerback.”
  2. 2Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12“Dane Brugler at the athletic... Number 12, Sonny Styles.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Avieon Terrell to be picked “the second pick in the first round (Cowboys, No. 20)” (picks 1–64)1Mock Draft PicksWent 4810050—
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 122Mock Draft PicksWent 780.5250—
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled90.350

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 90.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Sonny Styles · 2025 season · overall pick

5 calls from 5 pundits between 2 overall pick and 27 overall pick. Dane Brugler said 12 overall pick. the room's median is 12 overall pick. what happened: 7 overall pick

Dane Brugler — 12 overall pickthe room — 5 calls from 5 punditsmedian 12 overall pickwhat happened — 7 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
the second pick in the first round (Cowboys, No. 20) (picks 1–64)They said
48What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksAvieon Terrell

    Avieon Terrell to be picked “the second pick in the first round (Cowboys, No. 20)” (picks 1–64)

    What happenedWent 48
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Avieon Terrell
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    48
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    the second pick in the first round (Cowboys, No. 20) (picks 1–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksSonny Styles

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12

    What happenedWent 7mocked at 12
    80.52Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    90.3naive 50

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