Skip to main content

Nate Tice#17 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 12, 2026

Tice predicted AFC East win totals: Bills 10-7, Patriots 11-6 (and a playoff team), Jets 5-12, Dolphins 4-13.

Published in writingRead the original

Waiting5 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 5Settled5 still waiting
#17Nate Tice’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nate Tice said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think this is a dead-on 10-7 team.
Nate Tice, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The piece
'Football 301' predicts win totals for the AFC East, where it's the haves (Bills, Patriots) and have-nots (Dolphins, Jets)
The original
Read the original
  1. 1New York Jets to finish with 5 wins“New York Jets Win Total Predictions: Nate Tice: 5-12”
  2. 2Miami Dolphins to finish with 4 wins“Miami Dolphins Win Total Predictions: Nate Tice: 4-13”
  3. 3Buffalo Bills to finish with 10 wins“Nate Tice: 10-7 ... "I think this is a dead-on 10-7 team."”
  4. 4New England Patriots to finish with 11 wins“Tice is especially bullish: "I'm going 11-6."”
  5. 5New England Patriots to make the playoffs“"I do think though that they 'regressed,' but … I think this is a playoff team."”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
New York Jets to finish with 5 wins1Season Win Totals————
Miami Dolphins to finish with 4 wins2Season Win Totals————
Buffalo Bills to finish with 10 wins3Season Win Totals————
New England Patriots to finish with 11 wins4Season Win Totals————
New England Patriots to make the playoffs5Playoff Picks————
5 calls · 5 waiting——

How each call scored

5 checkable claims — 4 season win totals and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 4 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 2 and below it on 2.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Miami Dolphins · 2026 season · wins

19 calls from 13 pundits between 0 wins and 7 wins. Nate Tice said 4 wins. the room's median is 2 wins. not settled yet

Nate Tice — 4 winsthe room — 19 calls from 13 punditsmedian 2 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against the room

wins
5They said
5The room (7 pundits)

Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.

  1. 1Season Win TotalsNew York Jets

    New York Jets to finish with 5 wins

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Season Win TotalsMiami Dolphins

    Miami Dolphins to finish with 4 wins

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Season Win TotalsBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to finish with 10 wins

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Season Win TotalsNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to finish with 11 wins

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Playoff PicksNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to make the playoffs

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.