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Josh PateSep 6, 2025

Pate expects Arch Manning to be a pretty good but not transcendent quarterback this season, thinks Bryce Underwood is a genuine star, and predicts Michigan will be in the national championship conversation in 2026 while remaining poor at receiver in 2025. They are out on Bill Belichick lifting North Carolina beyond its historical seven-to-eight-win level.

Said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
8What happenedcalled 8
75A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
+50Skillafter difficulty

What Josh Pate said

I think twenty twenty six they're right in the national championship conversation.
Our reading: Carolina Panthers to finish with 8 wins
The episode
Prime Cuts - Cowboys Impressive In Loss To Eagles, NFL Win Totals, Belichick’s Disastrous Start At UNC
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 6, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Carolina Panthers · 2025 season · wins

4 calls from 4 pundits between 5 wins and 10 wins. Josh Pate said 8 wins. the room's median is 5.5 wins. what happened: 8 wins

Josh Pate — 8 winsthe room — 4 calls from 4 punditsmedian 5.5 winswhat happened — 8 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

wins
8They said
8What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Season Win TotalsCarolina Panthers

    Carolina Panthers to finish with 8 wins

    What happened8called 8
    100Hit · naive 75
    100this call75a naive guess25better than naive2difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    CAR
    naive:
    6.75
    skill:
    50
    what happened:
    8
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    75
    they said:
    8
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.