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David Helman· Feb 28, 2026

Helman came away from the combine convinced Kyler Murray's time in Arizona is over, and he believes Sonny Styles cemented himself as a top-ten pick.

“I think he cemented himself as a top ten pick this week.”

said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top ten pick (picks 1–10)They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Sonny Styles to be picked “top ten pick” (picks 1–10)

    “At the very least, I think he cemented himself as a top ten pick this week.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top ten pick (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kyler Murray to move

    “I wasn't completely convinced when I got to Indy that Kyler Murray's time in Phoenix was really done. I'm very convinced that that is the case after being in Indie for a week.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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