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Nick WesselingAug 27, 2025

Guest Nick Wesseling predicted Joe Burrow will win MVP this season, arguing the Bengals' poor defense will force Burrow into their best statistical year.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Matthew Stafford wonWhat happenedcalled Joe Burrow
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty

What Nick Wesseling said

Joe Burrow will win the MVP this year.
Our reading: Joe Burrow to win MVP
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
2025 NFL Awards Predictions with Nick Wesseling
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidAug 27, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happenedMatthew Stafford woncalled Joe Burrow
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Joe Burrow
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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