Marvin LewisSep 6, 2022
Lewis picked Aaron Rodgers MVP, Dak Prescott OPOY, T.J. Watt DPOY, Drake London OROY, Travon Walker DROY, Baker Mayfield Comeback Player and Mike McCarthy Coach of the Year.
Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original
What Marvin Lewis said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromMarvin Lewis, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
- Where it was published
- The 33rd Team
- The piece
- 2022 NFL Awards Predictions: MVP, Rookies of the Year, and More - The 33rd Team
- The original
- The copy as archived Sep 7, 2022
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy is the record of what it said.
- SaidSep 5, 2022
- GradedAug 5, 2026
- 1Aaron Rodgers to win Most Valuable Player“4. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers (2 votes: Rich Gannon, Marvin Lewis)”
- 2Mike McCarthy to win Coach of the Year“Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy (1 vote: Lewis)”
- 3Drake London to win Offensive Rookie of the Year“Falcons WR Drake London (1 vote: Lewis)”
- 4Baker Mayfield to win Comeback Player of the Year“Panthers QB Baker Mayfield (1 vote: Lewis)”
- 5Travon Walker to win Defensive Rookie of the Year“2. Jaguars edge rusher Travon Walker (4 votes: Barber, Lewis, Martz, Smith)”
- 6T.J. Watt to win Defensive Player of the Year“T2. Steelers LB T.J. Watt (3 votes: Koetter, Lewis, Phillps)”
- 7Dak Prescott to win Offensive Player of the Year“Cowboys QB Dak Prescott (1 vote: Lewis)”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers to win Most Valuable Player1 | Award Picks | Patrick Mahomes won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mike McCarthy to win Coach of the Year2 | Coach Award Picks | Brian Daboll won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Drake London to win Offensive Rookie of the Year3 | Award Picks | Garrett Wilson won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Baker Mayfield to win Comeback Player of the Year4 | Award Picks | Geno Smith won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Travon Walker to win Defensive Rookie of the Year5 | Award Picks | Sauce Gardner won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| T.J. Watt to win Defensive Player of the Year6 | Award Picks | Nick Bosa won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dak Prescott to win Offensive Player of the Year7 | Award Picks | Justin Jefferson won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 calls · 7 misses · all settled | 0 | 0 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive7 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 7 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Award PicksAaron RodgersGreen Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers to win Most Valuable Player
What happenedPatrick Mahomes woncalled Aaron Rodgers0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Aaron Rodgers, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Aaron Rodgers
- season:
- 2022
- who won:
- Patrick Mahomes
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Coach Award PicksDallas Cowboys
Mike McCarthy to win Coach of the Year
What happenedBrian Daboll woncalled Mike McCarthy0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Mike McCarthy
- naive:
- the naive pick was Mike Vrabel, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2022
- who won:
- Brian Daboll
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
3Award PicksDrake LondonAtlanta Falcons
Drake London to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
What happenedGarrett Wilson woncalled Drake London0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- offensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Ja'Marr Chase, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2022
- who won:
- Garrett Wilson
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
4Award PicksBaker MayfieldCarolina Panthers
Baker Mayfield to win Comeback Player of the Year
What happenedGeno Smith woncalled Baker Mayfield0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- comeback_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Baker Mayfield
- season:
- 2022
- who won:
- Geno Smith
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
5Award PicksTravon WalkerJacksonville Jaguars
Travon Walker to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
What happenedSauce Gardner woncalled Travon Walker0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- defensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Micah Parsons, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Travon Walker
- season:
- 2022
- who won:
- Sauce Gardner
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
6Award PicksT.J. WattPittsburgh Steelers
T.J. Watt to win Defensive Player of the Year
What happenedNick Bosa woncalled T.J. Watt0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- defensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was T.J. Watt, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- T.J. Watt
- season:
- 2022
- who won:
- Nick Bosa
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
7Award PicksDak PrescottDallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott to win Offensive Player of the Year
What happenedJustin Jefferson woncalled Dak Prescott0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Cooper Kupp, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Dak Prescott
- season:
- 2022
- who won:
- Justin Jefferson
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 7 settled calls, each counted once
0naive 0
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks.Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta.JP Acosta · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco.Gregg Rosenthal · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Rosenthal gave their award ballot: Drake May atop their MVP list (though they expect Matthew Stafford to actually win), Myles Garrett for Defensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Carson Schwesinger for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Mike Macdonald for Coach of the Year and Broncos O-line coach Zach Strief for Assistant Coach of the Year. They also expect Kirk Cousins to be cut by Atlanta.Bryan DeArdo · Trade and Signing Calls · Joey Porter Jr. · Miss 0
The piece predicts Joey Porter Jr. most likely stays with the Steelers through 2026, while listing possible trade destinations if they were moved.Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Micah Parsons · Miss 0
Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process.
More award picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Willie Colon · Award Picks · Sam Darnold · Miss 0
Colon picked the Seahawks to win 24-14 with Sam Darnold as Super Bowl MVP.Danny Parkins · Award Picks · Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Miss 0
Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP.