Marvin Lewis· Sep 6, 2022

Lewis picked Aaron Rodgers MVP, Dak Prescott OPOY, T.J. Watt DPOY, Drake London OROY, Travon Walker DROY, Baker Mayfield Comeback Player and Mike McCarthy Coach of the Year.

published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original (as archived Sep 7, 2022) →

The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy above is the record of what it said.

7 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

7 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Award Picks Aaron Rodgers Green Bay PackersSep 6, 2022
Aaron Rodgers to win Most Valuable Player
“4. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers (2 votes: Rich Gannon, Marvin Lewis)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Aaron Rodgers, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Aaron Rodgers
season:
2022
winner:
Patrick Mahomes
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Coach Award Picks Dallas CowboysSep 6, 2022
Mike McCarthy to win Coach of the Year
“Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy (1 vote: Lewis)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Mike McCarthy
naive:
the naive pick was Mike Vrabel, who won it the year before
skill:
0
season:
2022
winner:
Brian Daboll
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Drake London Atlanta FalconsSep 6, 2022
Drake London to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“Falcons WR Drake London (1 vote: Lewis)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Ja'Marr Chase, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Drake London
season:
2022
winner:
Garrett Wilson
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Baker Mayfield Carolina PanthersSep 6, 2022
Baker Mayfield to win Comeback Player of the Year
“Panthers QB Baker Mayfield (1 vote: Lewis)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
comeback_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Baker Mayfield
season:
2022
winner:
Geno Smith
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Travon Walker Jacksonville JaguarsSep 6, 2022
Travon Walker to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“2. Jaguars edge rusher Travon Walker (4 votes: Barber, Lewis, Martz, Smith)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Micah Parsons, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Travon Walker
season:
2022
winner:
Sauce Gardner
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks T.J. Watt Pittsburgh SteelersSep 6, 2022
T.J. Watt to win Defensive Player of the Year
“T2. Steelers LB T.J. Watt (3 votes: Koetter, Lewis, Phillps)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was T.J. Watt, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
T.J. Watt
season:
2022
winner:
Nick Bosa
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Dak Prescott Dallas CowboysSep 6, 2022
Dak Prescott to win Offensive Player of the Year
“Cowboys QB Dak Prescott (1 vote: Lewis)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Cooper Kupp, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Dak Prescott
season:
2022
winner:
Justin Jefferson
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsClose · 50
Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersMiss · 0
Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100
Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100
Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10
Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsMiss · 0
Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.

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Who this take is about

7 checkable claims in this take

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