Nick Shook#67 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 27, 2026
Shook argues Cash Is Hal's short arms and 4.59 forty may have knocked them out of the first round entirely, defends Ruben Bain as a future stud despite short arms, calls Bailey a justified top-five pick, and doubts the Raiders will get two firsts plus a player for Maxx Crosby.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Nick Shook said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromSo I honestly think that he may have fallen out of the first round entirely.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- Styles and Reese Shine at Combine, Latest Trade Rumors, and Dan Morgan and Dave Canales Join the Show
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidFeb 27
- GradedAug 7–14
- 1David Bailey to be picked “top five pick” (picks 1–5)“it's totally justified for him to be considered a top five pick”
- 2Cashius Howell to be picked “fallen out of the first round entirely” (picks 1–32)“So I honestly think that he may have fallen out of the first round entirely after Wow”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bailey to be picked “top five pick” (picks 1–5)1 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 2 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Cashius Howell to be picked “fallen out of the first round entirely” (picks 1–32)2 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 41 | 67.71 | 50 | — | |
| 2 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · all settled | 83.9 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 83.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
David Bailey to be picked “top five pick” (picks 1–5)
What happenedWent 2100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top five pick (picks 1–5)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
2Mock Draft PicksCashius Howell
Cashius Howell to be picked “fallen out of the first round entirely” (picks 1–32)
What happenedWent 4167.71Close · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Cashius Howell
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 67.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 41
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 67.71
- predicted pick:
- fallen out of the first round entirely (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
83.9naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Danny Parkins · Mock Draft Picks · David Bailey · Hit 100
Danny Parkins presented their one-and-only 2026 mock draft, including trades: Mendoza at 1 to the Raiders, David Bailey second to the Jets, the Cowboys trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Bears trading up to 16 for Kadyn Proctor, and Ty Simpson going to Arizona at 32 at the end of round one.Nick Wright · Mock Draft Picks · Cashius Howell · Close 65
Nick Wright unveiled their full 32-pick 2026 NFL mock draft 4.0, starting with Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1 and ending with Avion Terrell to the Seahawks at 32. They also called Carnell Tate the best/safest receiver in the class, projected Ty Simpson inside the top 45, said Mendoza profiles as a low-end top-15 NFL quarterback, and expected the Dolphins to lose 15 games.David Harrison · Mock Draft Picks · David Bailey · Hit 96
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Miller predicted the Jets take David Bailey second overall, that Jordan Tyson goes to the Giants at No. 5 as the first receiver off the board, that the Browns take an offensive lineman/trade back, and offered a wild prediction that Dallas trades up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese.Rich Eisen · Mock Draft Picks · David Bailey · Hit 100
Eisen laid out their "come at me" mock draft of the top 10 picks of the 2026 NFL Draft, including a projected Chiefs trade up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.