Kent SwansonMar 26, 2026
Ken says all six known Chiefs top-30 visitors will be drafted inside the top 100 picks, projects Dani Dennis-Sutton to go between picks 40 and 74 (closer to 40), and sees Davison Igbinosun as more of a pick-74 player than a pick-40 player.
Said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast)Hear the original
6 of 6calls landed6 hits · 2 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
6 of 8Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet
What Kent Swanson said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromBut there's six out there that we know, and all of these guys are going to be taken within the top 100 picks, I think.
- Where it was said
- KC Sports Network (podcast)
- The episode
- KC Laboratory 3/25: Deciding the Best Position Order for the Chiefs’ Top 2026 Draft Picks!
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidMar 25
- GradedAug 13–14
- 1Chris Johnson to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)“all of these guys are going to be taken within the top 100 picks, I think... San Diego State quarterback Chris Johnson”
- 2Oscar Delp to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)“all of these guys are going to be taken within the top 100 picks, I think... tight end Oscar Delp out of Georgia”
- 3Kadyn Proctor to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)“all of these guys are going to be taken within the top 100 picks, I think... Caden Proctor, the tackle out of Alabama... is also expected to have a 30 visit”
- 4Makai Lemon to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)“there's six out there that we know, and all of these guys are going to be taken within the top 100 picks, I think... Mekhi Lemmon and Carnell Tate will be getting top 30 visits”
- 5Caleb Banks to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)“all of these guys are going to be taken within the top 100 picks, I think... Defensive tackle, Caleb Banks out of Florida”
- 6Carnell Tate to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)“all of these guys are going to be taken within the top 100 picks, I think... Mekhi Lemmon and Carnell Tate will be getting top 30 visits”
- 7B.J. to be picked “somewhere between forty and seventy four... probably closer to 40”“but I think I think he goes somewhere between forty and seventy four is most likely and probably closer to 40 at this point because of the athletic testing”
- 8Davison Igbinosun to be picked “more of a pick 74 than he is a pick 40”“I think he is more of a pick 74 than he is a Mhmm. Pick 40 for the record.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Johnson to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)1 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 27 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Oscar Delp to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)2 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 73 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Kadyn Proctor to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)3 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 12 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Makai Lemon to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)4 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 20 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Caleb Banks to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)5 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 18 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Carnell Tate to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)6 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 4 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| B.J. to be picked “somewhere between forty and seventy four... probably closer to 40”7 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Davison Igbinosun to be picked “more of a pick 74 than he is a pick 40”8 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 8 calls · 6 hits · 2 waiting | 100 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive8 checkable claims — 8 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
6 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickwithin the top 100 picks (picks 1–100)They said
27What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
1Mock Draft PicksChris Johnson
Chris Johnson to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)
What happenedWent 27100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Chris Johnson
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 27
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- within the top 100 picks (picks 1–100)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Oscar Delp to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)
What happenedWent 73100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Oscar Delp
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 73
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- within the top 100 picks (picks 1–100)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
3Mock Draft PicksKadyn Proctor
Kadyn Proctor to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)
What happenedWent 12100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Kadyn Proctor
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- within the top 100 picks (picks 1–100)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Makai Lemon to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)
What happenedWent 20100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 20
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- within the top 100 picks (picks 1–100)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Caleb Banks to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)
What happenedWent 18100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Caleb Banks
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 18
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- within the top 100 picks (picks 1–100)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
Carnell Tate to be picked “within the top 100 picks” (picks 1–100)
What happenedWent 4100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- within the top 100 picks (picks 1–100)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
B.J. to be picked “somewhere between forty and seventy four... probably closer to 40”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
8Mock Draft PicksDavison Igbinosun
Davison Igbinosun to be picked “more of a pick 74 than he is a pick 40”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 50
Who this take is about
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