Matt HarmonAug 12, 2026
Harmon predicted AFC East win totals: Bills 11-6, Patriots 10-7, Jets 5-12, Dolphins 4-13.
Published in writingRead the original
What Matt Harmon said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromLike, they're going to go from 14 wins to 10 wins.
- The piece
- 'Football 301' predicts win totals for the AFC East, where it's the haves (Bills, Patriots) and have-nots (Dolphins, Jets)
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- 1Miami Dolphins to finish with 4 wins“Miami Dolphins Win Total Predictions: ... Matt Harmon: 4-13”
- 2New York Jets to finish with 5 wins“New York Jets Win Total Predictions: ... Matt Harmon: 5-12”
- 3Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins“Buffalo Bills Win total predictions: ... Matt Harmon: 11-6”
- 4New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins“Harmon went slightly lower: "I also feel that way … Like, they're going to go from 14 wins to 10 wins."”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Dolphins to finish with 4 wins1 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| New York Jets to finish with 5 wins2 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins3 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins4 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 4 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
4 checkable claims — 4 season win totals — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 4 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 3.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Miami Dolphins · 2026 season · wins19 calls from 13 pundits between 0 wins and 7 wins. Matt Harmon said 4 wins. the room's median is 2 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against the room
winsTheir call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.
1Season Win TotalsMiami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins to finish with 4 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Season Win TotalsNew York Jets
New York Jets to finish with 5 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Season Win TotalsBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Season Win TotalsNew England Patriots
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.John Breech · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 62
Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 74
Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17.Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Aaron Rodgers · Miss 0
Eisen ranked their top five most impressive Pro Bowl campaigns of the season, topped by Sam Darnold, and predicted that Sunday would be Aaron Rodgers' last game with the Jets.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Chicago Bears · Hit 100
Nick Wright lays out their season win-total picks (overs on Jaguars, Bears, Chiefs, Buccaneers, Raiders, Falcons; unders on Bengals, Colts, Broncos, Cowboys, Vikings, 49ers), playoff berth and miss calls, three division winners, a Chiefs-over-Buccaneers Super Bowl exacta, and five Week 1 picks.Damonza Byrd · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; they also like the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Dallas Cowboys · Miss 0
Rosenthal expects a high-scoring Eagles-Cowboys kickoff game, guesses a scoreline around 41-27, still believes Dallas can clear its win total and reach the playoffs, likes the Giants to beat expectations with Jackson Dart taking over as starter early.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Baltimore Ravens · Miss 0
Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. They also make a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.