Skip to main content

Peter Schrager#19 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 14, 2026

Schrager's mock draft has the Cardinals taking Arvell Reese at No. 3 overall.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Cardinals (podcast)Hear the original

92Hit · out of 100
Went 5What happenedmocked at 3
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
91.7This callout of 100
#19Peter Schrager’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Peter Schrager said

He had the cardinals taking Arvo Reese.
Our reading: Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3
The episode
Arizona Cardinals Slated to Draft Miami's Francis Mauigoa In Most Important Mock Draft to Date
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 14
  2. GradedOct 1

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Arvell Reese · 2026 season · overall pick

8 calls from 8 pundits between 3 overall pick and 5 overall pick. Peter Schrager said 3 overall pick. the room's median is 3 overall pick. what happened: 5 overall pick

Peter Schrager — 3 overall pickthe room — 8 calls from 8 punditsmedian 3 overall pickwhat happened — 5 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
3They said
5What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseArizona Cardinals

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3

    What happenedWent 5mocked at 3
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.