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Jeff CavanaughJan 8, 2026

The host discusses Fran Duffy's mock draft and adds their own takes: they'd take Sonny Styles at No. 12 if the draft fell that way, projects Styles will run in the 4.4-4.5 range, and predicts USC receiver Malachi Lemon(?) will be a first-round pick. They also expect Zachariah Branch to replace the Cowboys' current returner.

Said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 1 waiting
90.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 3Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Jeff Cavanaugh said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
He's gonna run a four four four five.
Jeff Cavanaugh, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Should The Cowboys BUST The Budget For George Pickens? | DLLS Cowboys
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJan 8
  2. GradedAug 14
  1. 1Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12“yeah, I think that's who I would pick there if I were the Dallas Cowboys”
  2. 2Makai Lemon to be picked “a first rounder” (picks 1–32)“I bet he'll be a first rounder.”
  3. 3Sonny Styles to post a four four four five at the combine“he's six four two forty. He's gonna run a four four four five.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 121Mock Draft PicksWent 780.5250—
Makai Lemon to be picked “a first rounder” (picks 1–32)2Mock Draft PicksWent 2010050—
Sonny Styles to post a four four four five at the combine3Combine Measurements————
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 waiting90.350

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks and 1 combine measurement — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 90.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Sonny Styles · 2025 season · overall pick

5 calls from 5 pundits between 7 overall pick and 12 overall pick. Jeff Cavanaugh said 12 overall pick. the room's median is 12 overall pick. what happened: 7 overall pick

Jeff Cavanaugh — 12 overall pickthe room — 5 calls from 5 punditsmedian 12 overall pickwhat happened — 7 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
12They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesDallas Cowboys

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12

    What happenedWent 7mocked at 12
    80.52Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksMakai Lemon

    Makai Lemon to be picked “a first rounder” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent 20
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    a first rounder (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Combine MeasurementsSonny Styles

    Sonny Styles to post a four four four five at the combine

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    90.3naive 50

Others on the same people

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