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Chad MillmanSep 11, 2026

Millman backed several week one sides outright: Miami to beat the Raiders straight up, the Jets over the Titans, an underdog money line parlay of Houston and the Giants, and a favorites money line parlay of Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and Detroit. They also stand by their preseason take that Drake Maye is a top-five NFL quarterback.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

Waitinggraded once the result is in

What Chad Millman said

I actually played Miami to win outright. I didn't even bother with the number.
Our reading: Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by an unstated measure
The episode
Sharp or Square - SHARP NFL Week 1 Bets - Picks, Predictions & Betting Strategies
The original
Hear the original

How the call scored

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

Nothing to score yet: this grades once the result is in.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against the record

positional finish
5They said
42025 finish

Their call against what actually happened last time. Not yet settled.

  1. Positional FinishesDrake MayeNew England Patriots

    Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by an unstated measure

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.