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Tom StrachanAug 9, 2026

In a draft-strategy piece for the 1.03 pick, Strachan predicts Ja'Marr Chase will again finish as the overall WR1, while naming Christian McCaffrey and Jonathan Taylor as players to avoid at that pick.

Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original

Waiting3 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 3Settled3 still waiting
3Waitingnot graded yet

What Tom Strachan said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Lock Chase in for another WR1 overall season.
Tom Strachan, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
FantasyPros
The piece
Fantasy Football Mock Draft: How to Approach Pick 1.03 (2026)
The original
Read the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 9, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. 1Jonathan Taylor to fall short of his draft cost (the third overall pick)“Another tough fade for this selection is Jonathan Taylor ... do you deserve to be drafted with the third overall pick when your quarterback is coming off said achilles injury”
  2. 2Ja'Marr Chase to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points“Burrow is fully healthy this offseason, and ceiling is the name of the game at the top of the draft. Lock Chase in for another WR1 overall season.”
  3. 3Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (1.03)“Players to Avoid at 1.03 Fantasy Football Draft Pick — Christian McCaffrey (RB – SF) ... McCaffrey is a stronger pick slightly later than this.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Jonathan Taylor to fall short of his draft cost (the third overall pick)1Fantasy Bust Calls————
Ja'Marr Chase to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points2Positional Finishes————
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (1.03)3Fantasy Bust Calls————
3 calls · 3 waiting——

How each call scored

3 checkable claims — 2 fantasy bust calls and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Fantasy Bust CallsJonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts

    Jonathan Taylor to fall short of his draft cost (the third overall pick)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Positional FinishesJa'Marr ChaseCincinnati Bengals

    Ja'Marr Chase to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Fantasy Bust CallsChristian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers

    Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (1.03)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More fantasy bust calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.