2024 U.S. presidential election in Montana
Presidency · November 5, 2024 · certified
The ballot
The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.
- Donald Trump (Republican)Won4 EV · 58.4% · 352,079
- Kamala Harris (Democratic)38.5% · 231,906
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Independent)2.0% · 11,825
- Chase Oliver (Libertarian)0.7% · 4,275
- Jill Stein (Green)0.5% · 2,878
Donald Trump by 19.9 points in the general · held by the Republican party going in · source: fec-2024-president
The field, week by week
Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.
What the field called
Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.
- Donald Trump1 pick · won
Every claim about this race (2)
Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.
Jeff Singer: Donald Trump wins MT's presidential vote (2024) — “win by a lot”
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Montana · the take
Hit · 100Domenico Montanaro: Donald Trump: probably win the state by double digits or more in MT's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Oct 22, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Montana · the take
Hit · 100