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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,386
graded
1,467 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
3426–3450 of 4,386
Kadyn Proctor to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
you've got legitimate All Americans in Caden Procter at tackle. He's going to be a first round pick.
Arch Manning to be picked at number 1
if he does what he we think he's going to do, and he wants to come out after this next year, he probably will be the first overall pick
Drew Allar to be picked at number 1
I think if Alor has the year he's gonna have, he'll be he'll he'll he'll be the top pick.
Drew Allar to be picked at number 1
Drew Aller could be the first overall pick in next year's draft. He could.
LaNorris Sellers to be picked at number 1
1. Cleveland Browns Selection: LaNorris Sellers, QB, South Carolina
Tacario Davis to be picked at number 11
11. Seattle Seahawks Selection: Tacario Davis, CB, Washington
Garrett Nussmeier to be picked at number 16
16. Pittsburgh Steelers Selection: Garrett Nussmeier, QB, LSU
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 23
23. San Francisco 49ers Selection: Spencer Fano, OT, Utah
Daylen Everette to be picked at number 24
24. Green Bay Packers Selection: Daylen Everette, CB, Georgia
L.T. Overton to be picked at number 25
25. Washington Commanders Selection: LT Overton, DL, Alabama
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 19
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Selection: Keldric Faulk, EDGE, Auburn
Caleb Banks to be picked at number 13
13. Dallas Cowboys Selection: Caleb Banks, DL, Florida
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 17
17. Chicago Bears Selection: Rueben Bain Jr., EDGE, Miami
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 26
26. Cincinnati Bengals Selection: Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 21
21. Minnesota Vikings Selection: Mansoor Delane, CB, LSU
Darrell Jackson to be picked at number 31
31. Baltimore Ravens Selection: Darrell Jackson Jr., DL, Florida State
Nyck Harbor to be picked at number 14
14. Miami Dolphins Selection: Nyck Harbor, WR, South Carolina
Drew Allar to be picked at number 2
2. New Orleans Saints Selection: Drew Allar, QB, Penn State
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 5
5. New York Jets Selection: Jordyn Tyson, WR, Arizona State
Dani Dennis-Sutton to be picked at number 20
20. Houston Texans Selection: Dani Dennis-Sutton, EDGE, Penn State
Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12
12. Atlanta Falcons Selection: Jermod McCoy, CB, Tennessee
Cade Klubnik to be picked at number 27
27. Los Angeles Rams Selection: Cade Klubnik, QB, Clemson
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7
7. Las Vegas Raiders Selection: Caleb Downs, SAF, Ohio State
Anthony Hill to be picked at number 10
10. New England Patriots Selection: Anthony Hill Jr., LB, Texas
Christen Miller to be picked at number 28
28. Kansas City Chiefs Selection: Christen Miller, DL, Georgia
