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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
3451–3475 of 4,387
Christen Miller to be picked at number 28
28. Kansas City Chiefs Selection: Christen Miller, DL, Georgia
Jake Slaughter to be picked at number 29
29. Buffalo Bills Selection: Jake Slaughter, IOL, Florida
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 15
15. Arizona Cardinals Selection: Denzel Boston, WR, Washington
T.J. Parker to be picked at number 4
4. Tennessee Titans Selection: T.J. Parker, EDGE, Clemson
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 9
9. Cleveland Browns Selection: Kadyn Proctor, OT, Alabama
Nic Anderson to be picked at number 30
30. Detroit Lions Selection: Nic Anderson, WR, LSU
Davison Igbinosun to be picked at number 32
32. Philadelphia Eagles Selection: Davison Igbinosun, CB, Ohio State
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 6
6. Carolina Panthers Selection: Francis Mauigoa, OT, Miami
C.J. Allen to be picked at number 18
18. Denver Broncos Selection: C.J. Allen, LB, Georgia
Peter Woods to be picked at number 3
3. New York Giants Selection: Peter Woods, IDL, Clemson
Arch Manning to be picked at number 8
8. Indianapolis Colts Selection: Arch Manning, QB, Texas
David Bailey to be picked at number 22
22. Los Angeles Chargers Selection: David Bailey, EDGE, Texas Tech
Jalen Milroe to be picked “drafted tonight (rounds two/three)”
Jalen Milroe hugging on everybody, and he will return tonight's Green Bay to be drafted in the NFL Draft as a quarterback.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “somewhere along rounds two and three”
I believe Sanders gets drafted today. I believe that somewhere along rounds two and three his name comes off the board.
Jack Nelson to be picked at number 250
number two fifty Eight The Green Bay. Packers they stay. Local offensive Tackle Jack nelson out Of. Wisconsin
Efton Chism III to be picked at number 248
number two forty eight belongs to the New Orleans Saints, and they go wide receiver Efton Chisholm
Jalen Kimber to be picked at number 257
Finally to fifty Seven it, is mister irrelevant time and It Belongs To. The kansas city chiefs ... he. Goes To state college jalen. Kimber Cornerback at a penn state
Nazir Stackhouse to be picked at number 254
number Two fifty four trade, alert ... And The new orleans Saints will send this Pick To the philadelphia eagles and They Will go. Nazir stackhouse
Fadil Diggs to be picked at number 253
The miami dolphins go. Edge Here fidell digs Out of syracuse ... at pick number two Fifty three
Joshua Simon to be picked at number 255
Step Right up the houston Texans And, they go joshua simon Tight End. Out of south carolina ... a, pick two fifty. Five
Andy Borregales to be picked at number 252
number two fifty two. Andres Bore a gollis ... To The san francisco forty. Nine ers he is the top kicker in. The draft
Carson Bruener to be picked at number 251
number two fifty one goes From The Kansas city chiefs over To The, pittsburgh steelers And The pittsburgh steelers Selector Linebacker carson brunner Out. Of washington
Myles Hinton to be picked at number 256
number two fifty six. THAT Belongs, to the La chargers and. The bolts Will Go offensive tackle Miles. Hinton out of michigan
Ja'Quinden Jackson to be picked at number 249
The San Francisco forty nine Ers hold pick number two forty nine. Running back Jaquindon Jackson out of Arkansas
Tyler Warren to be picked at number 7
number seven, the Jets go for Tyler Warren.
