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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
3676–3700 of 4,387
Will Campbell to be picked at number 13
Number thirteen Dolphins, I'd go Will Campbell LSU.
Omarion Hampton to be picked at number 12
Number twelve Cowboys Amarion Hampton, running back North Carolina.
Jalon Walker to be picked at number 10
Number ten Bears, go get Edge Jaylon Walker... I like Walker to the Bears at ten
Tetairoa McMillan to be picked at number 8
Panthers get T Mac wide receiver Arizona... Panthers at eight. Take him.
Tre Harris to be picked “squarely day two zone”
we're like now in the squarely day two zone... I've got guys like Jack Besh, Kyle Williams, Trey Harris.
Harold Fannin Jr. to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
I actually would feel more comfortable probably going drafting Fannin ahead of his consensus. Then I would which will probably be what second round
Jaylin Noel to be picked “late first rounders, early second rounder types” (picks 1–64)
This is kind of like the guys that I think are late first rounders, early second rounder types.
Luther Burden III to be picked “late first rounders, early second rounder types” (picks 1–64)
Now, Luther Burden and Jalen Knowle actually out of Iowa State. This is kind of like the guys that I think are late first rounders, early second rounder types.
Kyle Williams to be picked “squarely day two zone”
we're like now in the squarely day two zone... I've got guys like Jack Besh, Kyle Williams, Trey Harris.
Jack Bech to be picked “squarely day two zone”
we're like now in the squarely day two zone... I've got guys like Jack Besh, Kyle Williams, Trey Harris.
Colston Loveland to be picked “ten to twenty two range”
I could see them moving up to get Loveland, who's not your traditional tight end.
Travis Hunter to be picked “top ten pick” (picks 1–10)
I think in any draft he'd be a top ten pick.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
what's gonna happen is cam Ward's going number one
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 2
I do I believe the Browns of draft shaud Or number two.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
He has elite arm talent, and that's why he's gonna be a number one pick in the draft.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “falls to New York”
but I think that should or does end up falling there obviously... but I think that New York is a good fit for him.
Abdul Carter to be picked “drafted by the Browns”
I think they continue to build their roster outside and maybe get Abdul Carter.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
I think cam Ward will go number one overall
Abdul Carter to be picked “drafted by Cleveland”
I do think that Cleveland will go and go get that dual Carter to go show up that defense.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “drafted by the Giants”
But the Giants not only will they, but they have to get sh George Sanders
Travis Hunter to be picked “drafted by the Giants”
I think the Giants draft Travis Hunter... I think they draft the best position player now quarterback available in the draft, Abduel Carter or Travis Hunter.
Kevin Winston Jr. to be picked “day two early”
Someone who I expect to go out there and get picked up, you know, day two early and be an immediate impact on a team.
Malaki Starks to be picked “somewhere in the twenty five range, maybe a little bit higher”
He is a splash playmaker and So i'm sure a team will take him somewhere in the twenty five range, maybe a little bit higher
Jihaad Campbell to be picked “top twenty” (picks 1–20)
if he ends up going higher, either higher than people think or certainly in the top twenty, I think he's gonna end up going because the upside seems really high to me.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
It's almost now because cam Ward is going to go first overall
