Skip to main content

Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 24, 2026

Eisen said they believe Fernando Mendoza will be the first overall pick, taken by the Las Vegas Raiders.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Went 1What happenedmocked at 1
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

the biggest story of this combine coming in isn't, you know, the first overall selection because it's Fernando Mendoza. I think it's going to be him.
Our reading: Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
The episode
Hour 1: From NFL Combine with Ravens HC Jesse Minter & Dolphins New GM & HC
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 24
  2. GradedAug 13

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Fernando Mendoza · 2025 season · overall pick

4 calls from 4 pundits between 1 overall pick and 1 overall pick. Rich Eisen said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick

Rich Eisen — 1 overall pickthe room — 4 calls from 4 punditsmedian 1 overall pickwhat happened — 1 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.