Pete Prisco#51 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 22, 2026
Prisco predicted the Patriots would edge the Bears in Chicago on Thursday night, 28-27, citing New England's superior defense.
Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original
What Pete Prisco said
I think the Patriots have the better defense and that will be the difference.
- Where it was published
- CBS Sports
- The piece
- Prisco's NFL Week 7 picks ahead of Patriots vs. Bears; Dream take WNBA Finals lead on Valkyries
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 22
- PlayedOct 22
- GradedOct 23
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 38.1 out of 100, against 86.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Score PredictionsNew England Patriots
New England Patriots 28 — Bears 27
What happenedBears 30–24called Patriots by 1 · lost by 638.1Miss · naive 86.3738.1this call−86.37a naive guess=−48.27worse than naive×1.67difficulty=−80.62skillClosing line (Oct 22): Bears by 3, total 50.5 · this 28–27 calls a Patriots win (by 1; the line gave the Patriots 42%) and more points (55).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 24-30
- skill:
- −80.62
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 38.1
- baseline:
- 86.37
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- 0.28
- predicted margin:
- 1
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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