Dave WannstedtSep 6, 2022

Wannstedt picked Josh Allen MVP, Jonathan Taylor OPOY, Nick Bosa DPOY, Kenny Pickett OROY, Aidan Hutchinson DROY, Jameis Winston and Michael Thomas for Comeback Player, and Frank Reich Coach of the Year.

Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original

1 of 8calls landed1 hit · 7 misses · all settled

12.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 8 calls

0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

8 of 8Settlednone still waiting

0Waitingnot graded yet

What Dave Wannstedt said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Dave Wannstedt, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: The 33rd Team
The piece: 2022 NFL Awards Predictions: MVP, Rookies of the Year, and More - The 33rd Team
The original: The copy as archived Sep 7, 2022
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy is the record of what it said.

SaidSep 5, 2022
GradedAug 5, 2026

1Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year“1. Colts RB Jonathan Taylor (6 votes: ... Wannstedt)”
2Jameis Winston to win Comeback Player of the Year“1. Saints QB Jameis Winston (6 votes: ... Wannstedt)”
3Josh Allen to win Most Valuable Player“1. Bills QB Josh Allen (7 votes: ... Dave Wannstedt)”
4Michael Thomas to win Comeback Player of the Year“Saints WR Michael Thomas (1 vote: Wannstedt)”
5Frank Reich to win Coach of the Year“T1. Colts coach Frank Reich (3 votes: Gannon, Wannstedt, Zimmer)”
6Nick Bosa to win Defensive Player of the Year“T2. 49ers edge rusher Nick Bosa (3 votes: Davis, Jennings, Wannstedt)”
7Kenny Pickett to win Offensive Rookie of the Year“T2. Steelers QB Kenny Pickett (3 votes: Mornhinweg, Phillips, Wannstedt)”
8Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year“1. Lions edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson (10 votes: ... Wannstedt ...)”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Skill
Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year¹	Award Picks	Justin Jefferson won	0	0
Jameis Winston to win Comeback Player of the Year²	Award Picks	Geno Smith won	0	0
Josh Allen to win Most Valuable Player³	Award Picks	Patrick Mahomes won	0	0
Michael Thomas to win Comeback Player of the Year⁴	Award Picks	Geno Smith won	0	0
Frank Reich to win Coach of the Year⁵	Coach Award Picks	Brian Daboll won	0	0
Nick Bosa to win Defensive Player of the Year⁶	Award Picks	Nick Bosa won	100	+200
Kenny Pickett to win Offensive Rookie of the Year⁷	Award Picks	Garrett Wilson won	0	0
Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year⁸	Award Picks	Sauce Gardner won	0	0
8 calls · 1 hit · 7 misses · all settled			12.5

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

8 checkable claims — 7 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 8 have settled, averaging 12.5 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Award Picks Jonathan Taylor Indianapolis Colts
Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year
What happenedJustin Jefferson woncalled Jonathan Taylor
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Cooper Kupp, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Jonathan Taylor
season:
2022
who won:
Justin Jefferson
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
2Award Picks Jameis Winston New Orleans Saints
Jameis Winston to win Comeback Player of the Year
What happenedGeno Smith woncalled Jameis Winston
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
comeback_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Jameis Winston
season:
2022
who won:
Geno Smith
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
3Award Picks Josh Allen Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen to win Most Valuable Player
What happenedPatrick Mahomes woncalled Josh Allen
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Aaron Rodgers, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Josh Allen
season:
2022
who won:
Patrick Mahomes
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
4Award Picks Michael Thomas New Orleans Saints
Michael Thomas to win Comeback Player of the Year
What happenedGeno Smith woncalled Michael Thomas
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
comeback_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Michael Thomas
season:
2022
who won:
Geno Smith
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
5Coach Award Picks Indianapolis Colts
Frank Reich to win Coach of the Year
What happenedBrian Daboll woncalled Frank Reich
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Frank Reich
naive:
the naive pick was Mike Vrabel, who won it the year before
skill:
0
season:
2022
who won:
Brian Daboll
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
6Award Picks Nick Bosa San Francisco 49ers
Nick Bosa to win Defensive Player of the Year
What happenedNick Bosa won
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was T.J. Watt, who won it the year before
skill:
200
player:
Nick Bosa
season:
2022
who won:
Nick Bosa
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
7Award Picks Kenny Pickett Pittsburgh Steelers
Kenny Pickett to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
What happenedGarrett Wilson woncalled Kenny Pickett
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Ja'Marr Chase, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Kenny Pickett
season:
2022
who won:
Garrett Wilson
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
8Award Picks Aidan Hutchinson Detroit Lions
Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
What happenedSauce Gardner woncalled Aidan Hutchinson
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Micah Parsons, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Aidan Hutchinson
season:
2022
who won:
Sauce Gardner
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 8 settled calls, each counted once
12.5naive 0