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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 24, 2025

Eisen predicted Cam Ward would go first overall and Travis Hunter second, that three Heisman finalists (Ward, Hunter, Jeanty) would land in the top five, and that Travis Hunter could sweep both Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year. They also expected the Cowboys to draft a big-time offensive player and the Patriots to take a defender.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 5calls landed3 hits · 2 misses · all settled
59.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
30A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 5Settlednone still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
If Ward Hunter and Gente go in the top five tonight, it would be the first time since the twenty twelve draft when three of the top five picks were three finalists from the previous Heisman trophy
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Ian Rapoport: It's Possible The Cleveland Browns Trade The Number 2 Pick
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 24, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026
  1. 1Travis Hunter to win Defensive Rookie of the Year“see somebody for the first time ever win offensive rookie of the year and defensive rookie of the year”
  2. 2Travis Hunter to win Offensive Rookie of the Year“see somebody for the first time ever win offensive rookie of the year and defensive rookie of the year”
  3. 3Cam Ward to be picked at number 1“because Cam Ward's going first, Travis Hunter's going second”
  4. 4Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2“because Cam Ward's going first, Travis Hunter's going second”
  5. 5Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)“If Ward Hunter and Gente go in the top five tonight... And I think that's gonna happen tonight. I think we're gonna see that tonight.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Travis Hunter to win Defensive Rookie of the Year1Award PicksCarson Schwesinger won000
Travis Hunter to win Offensive Rookie of the Year2Award PicksTetairoa McMillan won000
Cam Ward to be picked at number 13Mock Draft PicksWent 110050+50
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 24Mock Draft PicksWent 210050+50
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)5Mock Draft PicksWent 695.7650+50
5 calls · 3 hits · 2 misses · all settled59.230

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

5 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 2 award picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 59.2 out of 100, against 30 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Cam Ward · 2025 season · overall pick

9 calls from 9 pundits between 1 overall pick and 1 overall pick. Rich Eisen said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick

Rich Eisen — 1 overall pickthe room — 9 calls from 9 punditsmedian 1 overall pickwhat happened — 1 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

  1. 1Award PicksTravis Hunter

    Travis Hunter to win Defensive Rookie of the Year

    What happenedCarson Schwesinger woncalled Travis Hunter
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    defensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Jared Verse, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Travis Hunter
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Carson Schwesinger
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Award PicksTravis Hunter

    Travis Hunter to win Offensive Rookie of the Year

    What happenedTetairoa McMillan woncalled Travis Hunter
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    offensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Travis Hunter
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Tetairoa McMillan
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksCam Ward

    Cam Ward to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Mock Draft PicksTravis Hunter

    Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2

    What happenedWent 2mocked at 2
    100Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Travis Hunter
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Mock Draft PicksAshton Jeanty

    Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)

    What happenedWent 6
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Ashton Jeanty
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    top five (picks 1–5)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    59.2naive 30

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