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Carmen VitaliFeb 28, 2026

Vitally pegs Ohio State linebacker Sonny Styles as probably a top-five pick in this year's draft, and expects the Bengals to lose Trey Hendrickson in free agency.

Said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
95.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
25A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Carmen Vitali said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I was going to talk about Sonny Styles, linebacker one, probably a top five pick in this year's draft, inside linebacker.
Carmen Vitali, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Alex Curry & Carmen Vitali Talk NFL Combine, LeBron's Future & More!
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 28
  2. GradedAug 14–Sep 18
  1. 1Trey Hendrickson to move to Cincinnati Bengals“And the Bengals they're losing Trey Hendrickson to free agency or he's going to test free agency... if you're looking to replace Trey Hendrickson and you're trying to find life after Trey Hendrickson, which is what the Bengals are going to try to do”
  2. 2Sonny Styles to be picked “probably a top five pick in this year's draft” (picks 1–5)“So I told you I was going to talk about Sonny Styles, linebacker one, probably a top five pick in this year's draft, inside linebacker.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Trey Hendrickson to move to Cincinnati Bengals1Trade and Signing Calls—1000+200
Sonny Styles to be picked “probably a top five pick in this year's draft” (picks 1–5)2Mock Draft PicksWent 791.750—
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled95.925

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 95.9 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsTrey HendricksonCincinnati Bengals

    Trey Hendrickson to move to Cincinnati Bengals

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Trey Hendrickson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    CIN
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    signed → BAL
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksSonny Styles

    Sonny Styles to be picked “probably a top five pick in this year's draft” (picks 1–5)

    What happenedWent 7
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    probably a top five pick in this year's draft (picks 1–5)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    95.9naive 25

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