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Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 3, 2026

Wright doubts A.J. Brown returns to top-five receiver status in their first year with New England, expecting a finish closer to the top 10 and roughly 1,000 receiving yards.

Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
That, to me, is at least it's at least on the board that A.J. Brown peaked three years ago, and is now closer to the player he's been the last two years.
Nick Wright, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Fox Sports
The piece
Can AJ Brown Return To Top-5 Wide Receiver Status In New England?
The original
Read the original
  1. 1A.J. Brown to record 1,000 receiving yards“Wright added that Brown hauling in around 1,000 yards this season, is just as likely as a return to the top five”
  2. 2A.J. Brown to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards“Wright added that Brown hauling in around 1,000 yards this season, is just as likely as a return to the top five — estimating his probable finish will be closer to the top 10 among receivers.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
A.J. Brown to record 1,000 receiving yards1Player Season Numbers————
A.J. Brown to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards2Positional Finishes————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 1 player season number and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against the record

receiving yards
1,000They said
1,0032025 actual

Their call against what actually happened last time. Not yet settled.

  1. 1Player Season NumbersA.J. BrownNew England Patriots

    A.J. Brown to record 1,000 receiving yards

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Positional FinishesA.J. BrownNew England Patriots

    A.J. Brown to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.