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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
26–40 of 40
23 / 40
graded
17 still pending
Our guess is based on the polling that Montana is also going to go Republicans. That's a pickup.
Nevada is probably the single best state for early voting news for Republicans, but it still does not mean you say it's over... It's probably the best indicative state for a Republican win, but it is not at all anything that will will let me do more than say, maybe I'll give them a slight edge if I'm on a betting market today.
Trump's gonna get, I think, three of the four electoral votes there because he'll win the state overall. So he gets two, and he's gonna win the other congressional district.
but Georgia, if Trump doesn't win Georgia, I'll be I'll be surprised. I'll just... I I think it's gonna be very close, but, you know, one or two point win, it looks like, there to me.
She's gonna carry Donald Trump's home state by a million and a half votes or more.
would crawl over broken glass in New York to vote for Donald Trump in a state that, vice president Harris is going to win already
Kamala Harris is gonna carry her home state by 4,000,000 votes or more.
Trump will probably win Florida and Texas by but you know, by a few 100,000 votes
Kamala Harris is gonna win her home state of California by 4,000,000 votes or more. Maybe maybe considerably more.
She's gonna win Donald Trump's home state by 1,500,000 votes, maybe more. ... He was born in New York.
Trump will probably win Florida and Texas by but you know, by a few 100,000 votes
I think that Trump will win because I think that the country will not elect a woman. ... my hunch is he wins because I don't think the country will elect a woman
And it might work, by the way. I'm not I'm I'm not suggesting that that... I think Trump has probably got a slight edge right now.
but Maryland's gonna go to Trump by... It's gonna vote Biden over Trump by 30 points.
I think it's an uphill battle for Democrats to... In the senate right now. They're gonna lose West Virginia.