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Division Winners

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
1,158
Graded
349

30% settled

Average accuracy
27.5

out of 100

Pundits
164

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
96 scored 80+253 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

349 / 1,158

graded

809 still pending

By season

  • 202016 of 16 graded
  • 20212 of 2 graded
  • 20222 of 2 graded
  • 20238 of 8 graded
  • 202418 of 18 graded
  • 2025303 of 303 graded
  • 20260 of 809 graded

Who is good at division winners

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every division winners take

301–325 of 1,158

  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Philadelphia Eagles to win the division

    3. Philadelphia (NFC East champion) ... Our simulation has the Eagles running away with the division.

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    4. Buffalo Bills (AFC East champion)

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    2. Detroit Lions (NFC North champion)

    Detroit Lions

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    1. Seattle Seahawks (NFC West champion) ... Our simulation has the SEAHAWKS winning the division.

    Seattle Seahawks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn BreechDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    2. Houston Texans (AFC South champion)

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingNick WrightDivision Winners2026 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    The Bucs at 35%. ... I still believe in Tampa.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingNick WrightDivision Winners2026 season

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    And then in the NFC West, another 35%. And that is Seattle. ... I think Seattle has earned favorite status

    Seattle Seahawks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingNick WrightDivision Winners2026 season

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the division

    I like Kansas City. They are the favorite to win the division

    Kansas City Chiefs

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingRich EisenDivision Winners2026 season

    Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    So I I picked the Bengals to win the division just because I've been high on the Bengals.

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingRich EisenDivision Winners2026 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    And I've got the Bucks winning the division.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingTJ JeffersonDivision Winners2026 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    something about this Bucks team and the way they rally around Baker Mayfield makes me feel like they're going to do the same and... carry them to victory in this division

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingChris BrockmanDivision Winners2026 season

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    Somehow the Bucks winning the division, Saints second.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingColin CowherdDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    I like Buffalo more than most, largest favorites to win their division.

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJordan DajaniDivision Winners2026 season

    Dallas Cowboys to win the division

    I'm high on the Dallas Cowboys this year and low on everyone else in the East.

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJordan DajaniDivision Winners2026 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    The Minnesota Vikings are definitely an interesting flier at +450, but I'll take the Lions at +175.

    Detroit Lions

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJordan DajaniDivision Winners2026 season

    Cincinnati Bengals to win the division

    I'm taking the Bengals to not only win the AFC North, but make a very deep playoff run as well.

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJordan DajaniDivision Winners2026 season

    Houston Texans to win the division

    AFC South — Houston Texans (+105) Dajani: "I liked the Houston Texans defense better than the Seattle Seahawks defense last year!"

    Houston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJordan DajaniDivision Winners2026 season

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    There's much more value in taking the reigning Super Bowl champion at +215 or the San Francisco 49ers at +305 and rooting for the downfall of this newly constructed super team.

    Seattle Seahawks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJordan DajaniDivision Winners2026 season

    New Orleans Saints to win the division

    The Saints have one of the easiest schedules in the NFL this year and play in the worst division, so +255 feels like pretty good value.

    New Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJordan DajaniDivision Winners2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    The Buffalo Bills will take their spot atop the AFC East once again with help from offseason addition D.J. Moore.

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingJordan DajaniDivision Winners2026 season

    Denver Broncos to win the division

    I think the price here at +210 warrants some backing. I feel like people constantly look down on the Broncos for some reason.

    Denver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingTyler SullivanDivision Winners2026 season

    Detroit Lions to win the division

    Detroit has the easiest schedule in the NFL entering 2026 ... that should help them stack up wins in what should be a wildly competitive NFC North.

    Detroit Lions

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingTyler SullivanDivision Winners2026 season

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    I'll take the value and quiet confidence of Seattle to win the NFC West.

    Seattle Seahawks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingTyler SullivanDivision Winners2026 season

    New Orleans Saints to win the division

    With one of the easiest paths in the league, New Orleans can be one of the surprise teams of 2026.

    New Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • PendingTyler SullivanDivision Winners2026 season

    New England Patriots to win the division

    It'll be neck-and-neck with Buffalo, but the value is on the Patriots repeating as division champs.

    New England Patriots

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

By topic

NFL — division winners (349 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections, The Economy. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.