Division Winners
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 1,158
- Graded
- 349
- Average accuracy
- 27.5
- Pundits
- 164
30% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
349 / 1,158
graded
809 still pending
By season
- 202016 of 16 graded
- 20212 of 2 graded
- 20222 of 2 graded
- 20238 of 8 graded
- 202418 of 18 graded
- 2025303 of 303 graded
- 20260 of 809 graded
Who is good at division winners
- Brandon Anderson100 accuracy · 2 graded+200.0
- Damonza Byrd100 accuracy · 1 graded+178.0
- Rashad Jennings100 accuracy · 1 graded+156.0
- Matt Hasselbeck70 accuracy · 6 graded+140.0
- Jamie Erdahl63 accuracy · 14 graded+108.9
- Kyle Brandt63 accuracy · 20 graded+102.0
- Manti Te'o48 accuracy · 15 graded+81.4
- Jason McIntyre42 accuracy · 10 graded+75.0
- John Middlekauff20 accuracy · 8 graded+40.0
- Chris Brockman39 accuracy · 32 graded+36.6
- Richard Sherman33 accuracy · 6 graded+33.3
- Brady Quinn25 accuracy · 8 graded+25.0
- Rich Eisen30 accuracy · 45 graded+16.0
- LaVar Arrington13 accuracy · 16 graded+0.0
- Jonas Knox13 accuracy · 16 graded+0.0
- Ryan Reynolds50 accuracy · 8 graded+0.0
- Dan Pizzuta38 accuracy · 8 graded+0.0
- Simon Hunter0 accuracy · 4 graded+0.0
- Cynthia Frelund0 accuracy · 3 graded+0.0
- Aaron Schatz33 accuracy · 3 graded+0.0
- Gregg Rosenthal0 accuracy · 3 graded+0.0
- Mitchell Eisenstein0 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Chad Millman0 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Danny Parkins0 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Andrew Whitworth0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0
- Jason Cabinda0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0
- Shannon Sharpe0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0
- Nick Shook0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0
- Isaiah Stanback0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0
- Tom Pelissero0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0
- West Wilson0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0
- Chosen Anderson0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0
- Brandon Graham0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0
- Daniel DiBerardinis0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0
- Colin Cowherd6 accuracy · 53 graded-3.1
- Marcus Mosher60 accuracy · 10 graded-13.5
- TJ Jefferson0 accuracy · 7 graded-28.6
- Nick Wright17 accuracy · 12 graded-60.6
- Seth Rollins0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
- Grant Reiter0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- Nightcap (podcast)50.0 · 2 graded
- Move the Sticks (podcast)32.1 · 64 graded
- The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)25.0 · 5 graded
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)42.6 · 53 graded
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)14.8 · 76 graded
- The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)16.7 · 8 graded
- The Draft Network25.0 · 9 graded
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)23.7 · 34 graded
- 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)15.3 · 40 graded
- What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)40.0 · 11 graded
- Sharp Football Analysis37.5 · 8 graded
- 3 and Out with John Middlekauff (podcast)0.0 · 6 graded
- First Things First (podcast)0.0 · 1 graded
- Fox Sports Radio (podcast)0.0 · 1 graded
- Around the NFL (podcast)2.8 · 10 graded
- The 33rd Team46.7 · 21 graded
Every division winners take
326–350 of 1,158
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
I thought long and hard about the Giants in an upset, but I just couldn't get all the way there. The Eagles have one of the best secondaries in the NFL
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
Injury concerns will always hover over this team, but I like the moves they made this offseason addressing the defense.
Denver Broncos to win the division
This is by far the best value on the board among all division futures.
Houston Texans to win the division
Sort of surprised to see the oddsmakers list Houston as the favorite over Jacksonville, but it's due to their lethal defense.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
Cincinnati has one of the league's top offenses and a defense that was significantly upgraded this offseason.
Chicago Bears to win the division
The Bears were the division's best team last year, and it appears that that is still the case.
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
Philadelphia Eagles (+122) ... DeArdo: "Starting with the 2021 season, Philadelphia has alternated between first-round playoff losses and Super Bowl appearances."
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
Seattle and San Francisco are also good bets, but I chose Seattle because they are the defending Super Bowl champions.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
This one was pretty easy; Mike Vrabel himself said recently that the Patriots' depth isn't very good.
New Orleans Saints to win the division
I like the Saints because of their strong finish last season and the youth movement Kellen Moore is overseeing.
Denver Broncos to win the division
I've got the Broncos winning one of the NFL's toughest divisions.
Houston Texans to win the division
Houston is the NFL's only team to win a playoff game each of the past three years. The Texans should be even better this season
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
so I will hit it down the middle with the defending Super Bowl champions ... Seattle has the experience and will not be threatened by Los Angeles.
Denver Broncos to win the division
Denver may have the best defense in the NFL and Jaylen Waddle was the missing piece on offense.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
If the defense takes even a small step forward this season, the odds are good that they will overtake Philadelphia in that division.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
The amount of optimism that I have in Cincinnati is beginning to alarm me. ... As it stands, they offer better value.
Minnesota Vikings to win the division
If Kyler Murray can help Minnesota return to a functional offense, then it is easy to envision a scenario in which that team capitalizes on others within the division already dealing with injuries.
New Orleans Saints to win the division
New Orleans has some promising young players on both sides of the ball, and there is no overwhelming favorite in the division.
New England Patriots to win the division
Although Buffalo would be my pick to win the division, the gap between them and the Patriots ... is not so large that the value should be ignored.
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
The margins are wider with the Jaguars, who are entering Year 2 of a union between head coach Liam Coen and quarterback Trevor Lawrence.
Houston Texans to win the division
I think the Texans have the best defense in the AFC ... forget the division title, this team could be a surprise Super Bowl contender.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
The Patriots had a fun one-year run at the top of the division, but the Bills will be out for blood this year.
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
I do think the Seahawks will keep this division race close, but the Rams feel inevitable. I just can't pick against them.
New Orleans Saints to win the division
I think he leads New Orleans on a worst-to-first run to steal the NFC South.
Detroit Lions to win the division
With a high-flying offense, I think the Lions have enough firepower to take the NFC North.
By topic
NFL — division winners (349 graded)
Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections, The Economy. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.