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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
30% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
349 / 1,158
graded
809 still pending
By season
326–350 of 1,158
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
I thought long and hard about the Giants in an upset, but I just couldn't get all the way there. The Eagles have one of the best secondaries in the NFL
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
Injury concerns will always hover over this team, but I like the moves they made this offseason addressing the defense.
Denver Broncos to win the division
This is by far the best value on the board among all division futures.
Houston Texans to win the division
Sort of surprised to see the oddsmakers list Houston as the favorite over Jacksonville, but it's due to their lethal defense.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
Cincinnati has one of the league's top offenses and a defense that was significantly upgraded this offseason.
Chicago Bears to win the division
The Bears were the division's best team last year, and it appears that that is still the case.
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
Philadelphia Eagles (+122) ... DeArdo: "Starting with the 2021 season, Philadelphia has alternated between first-round playoff losses and Super Bowl appearances."
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
Seattle and San Francisco are also good bets, but I chose Seattle because they are the defending Super Bowl champions.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
This one was pretty easy; Mike Vrabel himself said recently that the Patriots' depth isn't very good.
New Orleans Saints to win the division
I like the Saints because of their strong finish last season and the youth movement Kellen Moore is overseeing.
Denver Broncos to win the division
I've got the Broncos winning one of the NFL's toughest divisions.
Houston Texans to win the division
Houston is the NFL's only team to win a playoff game each of the past three years. The Texans should be even better this season
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
so I will hit it down the middle with the defending Super Bowl champions ... Seattle has the experience and will not be threatened by Los Angeles.
Denver Broncos to win the division
Denver may have the best defense in the NFL and Jaylen Waddle was the missing piece on offense.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
If the defense takes even a small step forward this season, the odds are good that they will overtake Philadelphia in that division.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
The amount of optimism that I have in Cincinnati is beginning to alarm me. ... As it stands, they offer better value.
Minnesota Vikings to win the division
If Kyler Murray can help Minnesota return to a functional offense, then it is easy to envision a scenario in which that team capitalizes on others within the division already dealing with injuries.
New Orleans Saints to win the division
New Orleans has some promising young players on both sides of the ball, and there is no overwhelming favorite in the division.
New England Patriots to win the division
Although Buffalo would be my pick to win the division, the gap between them and the Patriots ... is not so large that the value should be ignored.
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
The margins are wider with the Jaguars, who are entering Year 2 of a union between head coach Liam Coen and quarterback Trevor Lawrence.
Houston Texans to win the division
I think the Texans have the best defense in the AFC ... forget the division title, this team could be a surprise Super Bowl contender.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
The Patriots had a fun one-year run at the top of the division, but the Bills will be out for blood this year.
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
I do think the Seahawks will keep this division race close, but the Rams feel inevitable. I just can't pick against them.
New Orleans Saints to win the division
I think he leads New Orleans on a worst-to-first run to steal the NFC South.
Detroit Lions to win the division
With a high-flying offense, I think the Lions have enough firepower to take the NFC North.