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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
30% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
349 / 1,158
graded
809 still pending
By season
351–375 of 1,158
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
This division feels like it's going to come down to the Bengals or Ravens, so I flipped a coin. Baltimore wins.
Denver Broncos to win the division
I see a Broncos' repeat coming.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
The Cowboys have one of the best offenses in the NFL and if their defense can take just a small step forward, they could be a huge threat to win not only the division
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
Los Angeles Rams (-105) ... Podell: "It's rare that "dream teams" actually pan out in the NFL, but the Rams were already the NFL's No. 1 scoring offense in 2025."
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
Herbert, running back Omarion Hampton and Los Angeles' stout defense power the Bolts to their first AFC West crown since 2009.
Houston Texans to win the division
As long as C.J. Stroud isn't historically awful like he was last postseason, the Texans should be one of the best teams in football.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
Dallas wins the NFC East for the first time since 2023.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
Cincinnati Bengals (+164) Podell: "Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins have always been able to light up a scoreboard, but now they finally have a defense that can make those points matter."
Green Bay Packers to win the division
Love with a consistent group of pass catchers, plus the Micah Parsons-led defense, will be enough to win the NFC North.
New England Patriots to win the division
New England maintains their slight edge over Buffalo.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
the Buccaneers have the most talented roster top to bottom. They return to their perch atop the division in 2026.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
Yep, I'm drinking the Cowboys Kool-Aid this year.
Chicago Bears to win the division
Getting three-to-one on the Bears to win the division feels like good value compared to the odds offered for the Lions or Packers.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
Combine those two things, and you have the recipe for a division winner.
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
I think the Rams will probably win the division, but getting this price on the Seahawks compared with having to lay the juice for the Rams feels wrong. This is the better bet.
Denver Broncos to win the division
I think this is the best roster in the division, so getting plus money feels good here.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
I don't think any of these teams are very good, so I'm just going with the one I think is the least bad.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
I feel good about them taking the AFC East back.
Houston Texans to win the division
The odds aren't the best for the Texans here, but that's because they're pretty clearly the best team in the division.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
The offense will score a ton with Dak Prescott. But it's the defense that will get them the division title.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
Buffalo Bills (-136) ... Prisco: "They will give this team back to Josh Allen. The aggression will be back."
Denver Broncos to win the division
The defense will again push them to win the division.
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
Jacksonville Jaguars (+245) Prisco: "They will be better than a year ago, and they have the best QB in the division."
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
Los Angeles Rams (-105) Prisco: "Dream team. Dream team. The talent is there, but it won't be easy in that brutal division."
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
The rest of the division isn't good and Baker Mayfield will be playing with a chip on his shoulder.