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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
30% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
349 / 1,158
graded
809 still pending
By season
376–400 of 1,158
Green Bay Packers to win the division
Green Bay Packers (+240) Prisco: "Young talent, a quarterback in Jordan Love who will be in the MVP mix and Micah Parsons when he returns. That's enough for me."
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
Joe Burrow and the offense will roll up points. But it's the improved defense that will win the division.
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
This is it! This is the year Justin Herbert finally wins the AFC West!
Buffalo Bills to win the division
Buffalo gave Allen his first legit WR1 since Stefon Diggs, and if Jim Leonhard's defense is even marginally better, that means Allen doesn't have to put the team on his shoulders come January.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
Just average, and this team will make a deep playoff run.
New Orleans Saints to win the division
if New Orleans can weather the early injuries, including Jordyn Tyson's absence, there's enough here to steal a division where 9 wins might be enough to get it done.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
Dak has enough around him to win a wide-open NFC East.
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
Houston's defense makes this close, but the Jags get the edge at quarterback, at least heading into the season.
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
Everybody seems ready to hand this division back to the Rams, which is probably exactly how the Seahawks prefer it.
Chicago Bears to win the division
There are questions on defense, especially after losing Coby Bryant to injury, but it's hard to bet against Johnson in Year 2.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
I have the Bills winning the AFC East
Houston Texans to win the division
I have the Texans winning the AFC South
Detroit Lions to win the division
14. Lions (No. 14; 0-0): Falling into a fourth-place schedule gives them the inside track to winning the division.
Denver Broncos to win the division
The AFC West, I'm just going to ride Denver.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
In the NFC, I've been hammering this for a while... I'm taking the Cowboys.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
But I love the Bengals this year. I love them... So I'm going Bills, Cincy, Texans, Denver.
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
I think we get some similarities this year with that Seattle Rams game at the end of the season dictating it. And I'm just leaning Seattle.
Houston Texans to win the division
AFC South, this is actually probably the easiest pick. I think the Houston Texans...
New Orleans Saints to win the division
I don't like the Saints. I love the Saints... So Dallas, Detroit, New Orleans.
Detroit Lions to win the division
The NFC North, who I'd probably pick to be the one seed... In the NFC, I think I'd go Detroit.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
AFC East. I'm just betting on Josh Allen until I'm wrong... So I'm going Bills, Cincy, Texans, Denver.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
Buffalo enters the season with the highest division odds (56%) of any team, with a weaker AFC East making the Bills seem like a near-playoff lock for the eighth straight season.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
holding a robust 73% chance to claim the AFC North
Buffalo Bills to win the division
I think I'm going to Bills too.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
yeah, give me give me the give me the Bengals