Caleb Downs

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

44.17

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

100

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

100

predicted pick:

11

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

94.17

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

42.86

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

70.71

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

70.71

predicted pick:

3

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

92.86

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

24.29

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

87.81

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

87.81

predicted pick:

8

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

74.29

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

38.57

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

91.7

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

91.7

predicted pick:

13

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

88.57

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

45

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

87.81

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

87.81

predicted pick:

8

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

95

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

34.62

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

77.11

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

77.11

predicted pick:

5

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

84.62

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

35.71

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

87.81

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

87.81

predicted pick:

8

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

85.71

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

44.09

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

77.11

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

77.11

predicted pick:

5

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

94.09

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

10

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

67.71

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

67.71

predicted pick:

2

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

60

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

31.82

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

77.11

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

77.11

predicted pick:

5

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

81.82

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

11.58

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

84.09

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

84.09

predicted pick:

7

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

61.58

off:

6

drill:

weight lbs

naive:

the average SAF (202.6, from 68 results)

scale:

credit halves every 9.72 — one standard deviation for a SAF

skill:

−13.3

player:

Caleb Downs

result:

206

season:

2025

combine year:

2026

accuracy:

65.18

baseline:

78.48

they said:

200

sigmas out:

0.62

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

weeks left when called:

0

Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

off:

1

drill:

height in

naive:

the average SAF (72.54, from 68 results)

scale:

credit halves every 1.63 — one standard deviation for a SAF

skill:

−13.96

player:

Caleb Downs

result:

72

season:

2025

combine year:

2026

accuracy:

65.43

baseline:

79.39

they said:

71

sigmas out:

0.61

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

weeks left when called:

0

Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

50

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

100

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

100

predicted pick:

first round (picks 1–32)

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

100

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

87.81

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

87.81

predicted pick:

8

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

100

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

100

predicted pick:

within the top 12 (picks 1–12)

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

80.52

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

80.52

predicted pick:

6

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

95.76

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

95.76

predicted pick:

top 10 pick (picks 1–10)

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

−25

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

95.76

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

95.76

predicted pick:

10

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

25

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

100

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

100

predicted pick:

not a top 10 pick (NOT picks 1–10)

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

100

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

100

predicted pick:

first round pick (picks 1–32)

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

95.76

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

95.76

predicted pick:

12

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

50

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

91.7

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

91.7

predicted pick:

9

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

100

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2026

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

95.76

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

95.76

predicted pick:

lock top ten pick (picks 1–10)

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

50

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

95.76

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

95.76

predicted pick:

10

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

100

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

player:

Caleb Downs

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

67.71

baseline:

50

actual pick:

11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

67.71

predicted pick:

2

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score