“the Giants could be in a position next winter, when the trading period opens up again, to flip McCarthy to a quarterback-needy team that's not happy with the way the current college crop at the position is taking shape.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 150
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → NYG (from MIN)
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
“There’s no news on who will start in Week 7, but I’m assuming they’ll go with the hot hand and play McCarthy.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- NYG
- week:
- 7
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he starts
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- reported:
- named the starter
- naive slot:
- 1
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- the naive guess:
- he keeps the job he had last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
“By now, it feels like a parting of J.J. McCarthy and the Vikings is inevitable. ... Minnesota will have to shop him around the league to see if there are any interested franchises”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → NYG (from MIN)
- how he left:
- traded
- mechanism:
- traded
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“McCarthy's overall potential might be enough to compel a team to make an offer to the Vikings for his services, more than likely as a backup.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → NYG (from MIN)
- how he left:
- traded
- mechanism:
- traded
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“After weeks of speculation, the Minnesota Vikings are expected to keep third-year quarterback J.J. McCarthy on the active roster.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- MIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
“That was part of my concern in 2024. McCarthy was my QB5 with a second-round grade”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 44.76+55.24 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2024
- naive:
- naming one of the 11 at random averages 44.76
- skill:
- 55.24
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 44.76
- position:
- quarterback
- class size:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 5
- predicted order:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“McCarthy was my QB5 with a second-round grade ... My second-round grade reflected that gap and the concerns that come with the pressure and expectation of going in Round 1.”
Miss · 37Scored 36.92a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2024
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 36.92
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 36.92
- predicted pick:
- second-round grade (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
“He still has two years on his rookie contract, but you'd think he's either traded for a late-round pick or cut at some point unless Murray struggles so much that McCarthy gets another shot in Minnesota.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → NYG (from MIN)
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“What it means is when these things begin to leak out like this, they're trying to soften the blow for when it eventually happens. So... whether they trade or release them, he's not going to be there.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → NYG (from MIN)
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Vikings QB: JJ McCarthy. ... McCarthy's overall potential might be enough to compel a team to make an offer to the Vikings for his services”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → NYG (from MIN)
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“As far as what that says for the Vikings, it probably means that eventually he will need a second chance somewhere else.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → NYG (from MIN)
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“The second-year quarterback from Michigan is expected to make the Vikings' final 53-man roster, as first reported by ESPN.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- MIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
“it's JJ McCarthy Tom, a guy that I think is gonna be a locked in QB one”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- round eleven
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- had to beat:
- QB12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- QB32
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
“the fourth quarterback off the board ... we have the top four in Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels and McCarthy, who are all surefire early first-round picks”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2024
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2024
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- surefire early first-round pick; fourth quarterback off the board (picks 1–135)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
“But it's gonna be JJ McCarthy's gig... JJ McCarthy starting week one onward.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- MIN
- skill:
- 8.33
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“And then there's JJ McCarthy, who I think is gonna start week one of next year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- MIN
- skill:
- 8.33
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“And we'll see how JJ McCarthy looks when he comes back from this bye week. That's gonna be McCarthy's first start, we think... They've gotta get started with JJ McCarthy.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+14.83 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- MIN
- skill:
- 14.83
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 14
“JJ McCarthy sounds like he's the starter of Week one in Minnesota. Do you agree, Yes, he's a starter... they're going to do so by having him as their quarterback Week One”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- MIN
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“If he goes to Minnesota, my guest says he's a backup. By like October, they're gonna start JJ McCarthy.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- MIN
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“it seems Tom that the direction the Vikings are going are JJ McCarthy and then maybe a veteran behind him rather than Aaron Rodgers for year, wait on JJ McCarthy and kind of proceed from there. As of right now, that seems to be the direction for the Vikings.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- MIN
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“a guy that I think is gonna be a locked in QB one”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at QB
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 12
- actual finish:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 12
“JJ McCarthy is a QB one. He's breaking out in twenty twenty five.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at QB
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 12
- actual finish:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 12
“A surprise team Trades up for J.J. McCarthy ... other suitors just behind could be more desperate to get ahead of them for the fourth quarterback off the board.”
Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 44.76+25.96 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2024
- naive:
- naming one of the 11 at random averages 44.76
- skill:
- 25.96
- player:
- J.J. McCarthy
- season:
- 2024
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 44.76
- position:
- quarterback
- class size:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 5
- predicted order:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0